PnL all-time−$934vol $240k
PnL 30d−$688gains $38 · losses $451
PnL 7d−$127win rate 7d 97.4%
Win rate99.6%adj 97.7% · 30d 98.4%
Open value$2,303cash n/a
Positions9 / 2,404open / all-time
Max drawdown−93.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$893below peak −$896Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 99.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity7
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Antalya 4: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Eva Bennemann · Eva Bennemannclosed+$23Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noopen+$5.86Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noopen+$5.56Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? · Noclosed+$5.49Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cuenin · Norbert Gombosclosed+$4.87
Worst markets
China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai · Zhuoxuan Baiclosed−$295Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noclosed−$157Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noopen−$2.15Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noopen−$1.07
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 305 | 98.9¢ | 99.8¢ | $305 | +$2.62 | $0 | |
| Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 305 | 99.4¢ | 99.1¢ | $303 | −$1.07 | $0 | |
| Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 305 | 99.8¢ | 99.1¢ | $303 | −$2.15 | $0 | |
| Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 300 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 300 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$5.86 | $0 | |
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 300 | 98¢ | 99.9¢ | $300 | +$5.56 | $0 | |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 281 | 99¢ | 99.6¢ | $279 | +$1.68 | $0 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik | Yes | 113 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $113 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 11? | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0.05 | $0 |
Recent trades
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