PnL all-time+$2,768vol $30.2k
PnL 30d−$63gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$17win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 54.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,244cash n/a
Positions5 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−52.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,338below peak −$89Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity48
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,404Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed+$771Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? · Noclosed+$347Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? · Noopen+$283Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Noclosed+$227
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | No | 1,419 | 86.1¢ | 92.4¢ | $1,310 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | No | 411 | 22.8¢ | 91.6¢ | $377 | +$283 | $0 | |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | No | 395 | 56.6¢ | 93¢ | $368 | +$144 | $0 | |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? | No | 167 | 56¢ | 94¢ | $157 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | 42¢ | 32.5¢ | $33 | −$9.46 | $0 |
Recent trades
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