sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,371

Irboz-sama

0x9b0…5e43@irboz
WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,219vol $25.3M
PnL 30d+$833gains $515 · losses $218
PnL 7d+$634win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate69.8%adj 69.0% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$4,527cash n/a
Positions23 / 523open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.1%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,998below peak −$2,359Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 69.8% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2,08586.8¢97.2¢$2,026+$216+$329
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No1,00095.4¢98.7¢$987+$33$0
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No50090¢95.4¢$477+$27$0
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?No45883¢95.9¢$439+$59$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,74613.2¢13.6¢$237+$6.11+$457
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?No21141.8¢58.5¢$123+$35$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5050¢80.8¢$40+$15$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes20761.9¢14¢$29−$99$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes3088¢95.5¢$29+$2.25$0
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No3091¢95.5¢$29+$1.35$0
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No2096¢99.7¢$20+$0.74$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No2075.1¢73.8¢$15−$0.26$0
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes4223.8¢31.5¢$13+$3.20+$168
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0004¢1.2¢$12−$28$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5050¢19.2¢$9.60−$15$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No889¢90.5¢$7.41+$0.12$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?No2027¢36.5¢$7.30+$1.90$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes2,0000.5¢0.4¢$7.00−$4.00$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes2001.3¢2.9¢$5.90+$3.30$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,0000.6¢0.5¢$5.50−$0.50$0
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?No2780.2¢1.6¢$4.45+$3.76$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No6414.6¢4.5¢$2.86−$6.53$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?No1007¢2.4¢$2.35−$4.65$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?83.7¢1,499$1,25570%69
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?89.3¢3,548$3,16970%69
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?89.5¢10$8.9570%69
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?89¢1,020$90870%69
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?99.9¢33$3370%69
BUY Kaitlin QuevedoSao Paulo Open: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo87¢20$1770%69
BUY NoHurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?91¢30$2770%69
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?93¢60$5670%69
BUY NoWill Paris FC win on 2026-09-06?85¢20$1770%69
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?42¢100$4270%69
BUY Arthur FeryWinston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse55¢20$1170%69
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?99.9¢1,000$99970%69
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?99.5¢489$48770%69
BUY NoWill Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?96¢20$1970%69
BUY NoNo one announced as next James Bond?75.1¢20$1570%69
BUY NoWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?14.6¢64$9.3970%69
BUY YesWill Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?51.8¢30$1670%69
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.2¢30$3070%69
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?98.9¢1,000$98970%69
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?99.1¢1,000$99170%69