PnL all-time−$413vol $24.2k
PnL 30d−$2,840gains $0 · losses $413
PnL 7d−$310win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 43.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,838cash n/a
Positions6 / 9open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age13dlast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,916below peak −$2,981Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%9
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable32
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,400Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,062Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$293Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$82Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · Yesopen−$64
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,268 | 82.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $983 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | Yes | 392 | 74.1¢ | 83¢ | $326 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,625 | 76.9¢ | 11.5¢ | $187 | −$1,062 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | Yes | 6,499 | 24¢ | 2.5¢ | $159 | −$1,400 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 105 | 79¢ | 91.5¢ | $96 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026? | No | 105 | 50.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $88 | +$35 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | 82.5¢ | 1,268 | $1,047 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | 79¢ | 105 | $83 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | 74.1¢ | 392 | $291 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | 24¢ | 6,499 | $1,559 | 0% | 13 | |||
| SELL No | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | 0.1¢ | 982 | $0.98 | 0% | 13 | |||
| SELL Yes | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | 1.7¢ | 5,579 | $93 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | 6.6¢ | 5,579 | $369 | 0% | 13 | |||
| SELL No | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | 41.3¢ | 527 | $218 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | 3.8¢ | 982 | $38 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | 54.9¢ | 527 | $289 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | 76.9¢ | 1,625 | $1,249 | 0% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026? | 50.3¢ | 105 | $53 | 0% | 13 |