PnL all-time−$195vol $1,586
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$151cash n/a
Positions4 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.5%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$195below peak −$115Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Noopen+$48Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? · Yesclosed+$25Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1? · Noclosed+$23Another Iran strike on Israel in October? · Noclosed+$18Derivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year? · Noclosed+$8.30
Worst markets
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? · Noclosed−$160Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration? · Noclosed−$150Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? · Yesopen−$6.00Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · Noopen−$3.00Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? · Yesopen−$2.00
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 151 | 68.2¢ | 100¢ | $151 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? | Yes | 375 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 30 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | Yes | 13 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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