PnL all-time+$62vol $42.5k
PnL 30d+$33gains $22 · losses $0.91
PnL 7d+$14win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.6%adj 88.2% · 30d 96.2%
Open value$96cash n/a
Positions6 / 329open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$86below peak −$0.58Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale26
Adjusted win rateraw 90.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1? · Yesclosed+$86Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$19US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$16US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$12Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match? · Yesclosed+$12
Worst markets
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Noclosed−$110Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Noclosed−$39S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 8? · Yesopen−$18Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Noclosed−$14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$12
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 112 | 65¢ | 70¢ | $78 | +$5.60 | +$13 | |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 20 | 90¢ | 88¢ | $18 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 115 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.42 | $0 | |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 8? | Yes | 100 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.24 | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 10 | 61.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.25 | −$0.07 |
Recent trades
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