sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

soll2

0x9bd…f830
WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,441vol $244k
PnL 30d−$1,947gains $1,729 · losses $3,417
PnL 7d−$60win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate60.9%adj 59.5% · 30d 63.2%
Open value$5,450cash n/a
Positions22 / 160open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$5,330below peak −$6,235Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.9% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes4,15080.8¢81.5¢$3,382+$28−$83
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No40094.6¢97.5¢$390+$11$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes90055.1¢26.5¢$239−$257−$468
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No26587¢83.5¢$222−$9.35+$52
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes48435.4¢38.5¢$186+$15$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No20085¢86.5¢$173+$3.00$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No15089.4¢94¢$141+$6.97−$1.56
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes30049.3¢45.5¢$136−$11$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes10096¢91.3¢$91−$4.75$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10086.3¢87.5¢$87+$1.14$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes10074.5¢77.5¢$78+$3.00$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes10079.7¢76¢$76−$3.70$0
Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?Yes5084¢97.4¢$49+$6.67$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes10048.5¢41.5¢$42−$7.00$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes5046.1¢80.5¢$40+$17+$185
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No4096.8¢98.4¢$39+$0.64$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes5090.5¢67.4¢$34−$12−$1.83
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes5006¢4¢$20−$10$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1094.9¢96.1¢$9.61+$0.12$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes1088.3¢79.1¢$7.92−$0.92$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1058.1¢53.9¢$5.38−$0.43+$0.47
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes1031.1¢19.5¢$1.95−$1.16−$83

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?96.7¢150$14561%35
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95.8¢50$4861%35
BUY YesGemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?84¢50$4261%35
BUY NoWill Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?96.8¢40$3961%35
SELL YesWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?94¢30$2861%35
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?88¢100$8861%35
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?96.6¢100$9761%35
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?81¢200$16261%35
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?43¢50$2261%35
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?84¢40$3461%35
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?95.8¢50$4861%35
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?44¢100$4461%35
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?76¢50$3861%35
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?84¢50$4261%35
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢50$4561%35
SELL YesGemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?86¢150$12961%35
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?87¢11$9.3061%35
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?25¢200$5061%35
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?25¢150$3861%35
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?80¢50$4061%35