PnL all-time+$1,351vol $217k
PnL 30d+$3.68gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$4.73win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.4%adj 57.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$623cash n/a
Positions11 / 303open / all-time
Max drawdown−68.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,448below peak −$782Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 58.4% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity32
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000? · Yesclosed+$519Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04? · Yesclosed+$422Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video? · Noclosed+$367Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11? · Yesclosed+$321Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yesclosed+$230
Worst markets
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? · Noclosed−$632Will "Jamie" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) · Yesclosed−$287Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl? · Noclosed−$233Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 · Underclosed−$232XRP Up or Down - February 18, 3AM ET · Downclosed−$226
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 258 | 52¢ | 95.5¢ | $246 | +$112 | $0 | |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | No | 238 | 77¢ | 100¢ | $238 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? | No | 65 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $65 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | No | 54 | 96¢ | 97.1¢ | $52 | +$0.57 | +$0.90 | |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 53 | 38¢ | 20.5¢ | $11 | −$9.28 | −$14 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 4 | 33¢ | 100¢ | $4.00 | +$2.68 | +$14 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 4 | 53¢ | 93.5¢ | $3.74 | +$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | No | 2 | 98.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $2.00 | +$0.02 | −$6.55 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 19 | 38¢ | 3.3¢ | $0.63 | −$6.59 | +$2.42 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3 | 45¢ | 6.5¢ | $0.21 | −$1.26 | $0 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 35¢ | 5¢ | $0.05 | −$0.30 | $0 |
Recent trades
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