PnL all-time+$9,905vol $330k
PnL 30d−$1,497gains $1,556 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,251win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.6%adj 63.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$51.9kcash n/a
Positions7 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$13.3kbelow peak −$5,182Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 84.6% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$11.9kWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$6,209Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$3,755Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? · Noclosed+$2,976Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,446
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$4,762Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? · Yesopen−$2,500Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$785Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$216Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$93
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.1k | 78¢ | 95.6¢ | $19.2k | +$3,527 | +$229 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.0k | 91.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $17.6k | +$157 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,215 | 92¢ | 88.5¢ | $5,500 | −$216 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,521 | 88.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $4,347 | +$347 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,611 | 91.3¢ | 71.5¢ | $4,012 | −$1,112 | −$3,650 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,354 | 89.4¢ | 97.1¢ | $1,314 | +$103 | +$147 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | Yes | 8,065 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,500 | $0 |
Recent trades
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