PnL all-time−$4,509vol $36.5k
PnL 30d+$1,968gains $420 · losses $5,016
PnL 7d−$22win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate36.8%adj 43.6% · 30d 30.8%
Open value$2,601cash n/a
Positions11 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 36.8% · shrunk toward 50%9
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Noclosed+$340Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Noclosed+$130US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · Noopen+$99Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference? · Noclosed+$78US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · Yesclosed+$51
Worst markets
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? · Noclosed−$2,501Trump wins every swing state? · Noclosed−$1,417Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$380Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? · Yesclosed−$359Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? · Noclosed−$160
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,250 | 89.7¢ | 80¢ | $1,000 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 94¢ | 83.5¢ | $668 | −$84 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 500 | 61¢ | 61.5¢ | $308 | +$2.50 | +$96 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 88¢ | 76¢ | $228 | −$36 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | No | 104 | 95.9¢ | 92.9¢ | $97 | −$3.11 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 170 | 59¢ | 49¢ | $83 | −$17 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes | 105 | 67¢ | 72.5¢ | $76 | +$5.78 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? | Yes | 157 | 49¢ | 40¢ | $63 | −$14 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | Yes | 100 | 46¢ | 39.5¢ | $40 | −$6.50 | $0 | |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 72 | 42.5¢ | 35¢ | $25 | −$5.38 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 32¢ | 23¢ | $14 | −$5.40 | $0 |
Recent trades
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