sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,006

Moonshot1019

0x9c9…f4f4
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$51.6kvol $3.97M
PnL 30d+$4,309gains $17.3k · losses $415
PnL 7d+$214win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.1%adj 83.1% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$10.0kcash n/a
Positions161 / 496open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.5%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 31d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$66.6kbelow peak −$26.2kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 85.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No10.4k76.6¢95.7¢$9,950+$1,979$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,650−$48
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k6¢0¢$0−$2,989−$84
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k5.1¢0¢$0−$2,550−$73
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k4¢0¢$0−$2,000−$58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes35.2k40.2¢0¢$0−$14.1k−$3,221
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No16.8k74.5¢0¢$0−$12.5k$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No16.8k90.5¢0¢$0−$15.2k$0
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?No16.1k60.1¢0¢$0−$9,700$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No12.2k77.9¢0¢$0−$9,498$0
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes11.4k11.6¢0¢$0−$1,318+$812
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes10.3k93¢0¢$0−$9,535$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No9,89275.4¢0¢$0−$7,462$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No9,57574.7¢0¢$0−$7,150$0
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?No8,10343.2¢0¢$0−$3,500$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No8,03555.6¢0¢$0−$4,464$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No7,62072.4¢0¢$0−$5,514$0
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No6,23938.3¢0¢$0−$2,389$0
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes6,00020.7¢0¢$0−$1,242−$49
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes5,94340.7¢0¢$0−$2,420$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No5,59675.9¢0¢$0−$4,247$0
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes5,11448.9¢0¢$0−$2,500−$63
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes4,70957.3¢0¢$0−$2,700−$58
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes4,44538.2¢0¢$0−$1,700−$52
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes4,3422.3¢0¢$0−$100−$4.88
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance4,34059.8¢0¢$0−$2,595−$52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsLos Angeles Dodgers4,12136.4¢0¢$0−$1,500−$48
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina3,88141.2¢0¢$0−$1,600−$47
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No3,80079¢0¢$0−$3,002−$19
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves3,65941¢0¢$0−$1,500−$44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No3,43941¢0¢$0−$1,410$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes3,25849.1¢0¢$0−$1,600−$24
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres3,00050¢0¢$0−$1,500−$38
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro TabiloTerence Atmane3,00050¢0¢$0−$1,500−$38
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No2,80752¢0¢$0−$1,459$0
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarRafael Jodar2,63238¢0¢$0−$1,000−$31
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin BlanchDarwin Blanch2,63238¢0¢$0−$1,000−$31
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?No2,59757.4¢0¢$0−$1,490$0
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway2,56942.8¢0¢$0−$1,100−$31
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers2,41941.3¢0¢$0−$1,000−$29
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico2,27948.3¢0¢$0−$1,100−$17
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Daniel AltmaierDaniel Altmaier2,22245¢0¢$0−$1,000−$28
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves2,17446¢0¢$0−$1,000−$27
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsYes2,17492¢0¢$0−$2,000−$8.00
Miami Marlins vs. Houston AstrosMiami Marlins2,12847¢0¢$0−$1,000−$27
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes2,09343¢0¢$0−$900−$15
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles2,04249¢0¢$0−$1,000−$26
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies2,0410¢0¢$0$0$0
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysChicago White Sox2,02349.4¢0¢$0−$1,000−$25
Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsAtlanta Braves2,00050¢0¢$0−$1,000−$25
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysTampa Bay Rays1,96151¢0¢$0−$1,000−$25
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers1,96151¢0¢$0−$1,000−$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes1,95379.4¢0¢$0−$1,550−$9.03
Spread: France (-1.5)France1,94456.6¢0¢$0−$1,100−$14
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersSeattle Mariners1,92352¢0¢$0−$1,000−$24
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany1,91547¢0¢$0−$900−$14
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers1,88753¢0¢$0−$1,000−$24
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers1,88753¢0¢$0−$1,000−$24
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox1,88753¢0¢$0−$1,000−$24
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox1,85254¢0¢$0−$1,000−$23
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes1,83540.9¢0¢$0−$750−$13
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox1,81855¢0¢$0−$1,000−$23
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles1,81855¢0¢$0−$1,000−$23
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Under1,79539¢0¢$0−$700−$21
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers1,78656¢0¢$0−$1,000−$22
San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins1,75457¢0¢$0−$1,000−$22
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves1,75457¢0¢$0−$1,000−$22
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No1,72341.5¢0¢$0−$716$0
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers1,69450¢0¢$0−$847−$21
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis ShapovalovDenis Shapovalov1,66760¢0¢$0−$1,000−$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers1,63961¢0¢$0−$1,000−$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton1,61362¢0¢$0−$1,000−$19
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes1,58350.5¢0¢$0−$800−$12
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under1,56332¢0¢$0−$500−$17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsLos Angeles Dodgers1,53865¢0¢$0−$1,000−$18
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneMatteo Berrettini1,49367¢0¢$0−$1,000−$17
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes1,47134¢0¢$0−$500−$17
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin LandaluceMartin Landaluce1,40871¢0¢$0−$1,000−$14
Los Cabos Open: Bernard Tomic vs Karen KhachanovKaren Khachanov1,33674.9¢0¢$0−$1,000−$13
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes1,32830.2¢0¢$0−$401−$16
Spread: England (-1.5)England1,31049.6¢0¢$0−$650−$9.82
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes1,29654¢0¢$0−$700−$9.66
Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsAthletics1,25040¢0¢$0−$500−$15
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxChicago White Sox1,24180.6¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes1,16760¢0¢$0−$700−$8.40
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes1,14161.5¢0¢$0−$702−$14
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti1,13644¢0¢$0−$500−$14
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5Under1,09663.8¢0¢$0−$700−$7.59
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers1,08746¢0¢$0−$500−$14
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Under1,05656.8¢0¢$0−$600−$7.77
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina1,04966.7¢0¢$0−$700−$6.99
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes1,04562.2¢0¢$0−$650−$7.38
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesArizona Diamondbacks1,04248¢0¢$0−$500−$13
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox1,04248¢0¢$0−$500−$13
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina1,03748.2¢0¢$0−$500−$7.77
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5Under1,01469¢0¢$0−$700−$6.45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia1,00759.6¢0¢$0−$600−$7.26
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes1,00060¢0¢$0−$600−$12
Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsAtlanta Braves1,00050¢0¢$0−$500−$13
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Vicente Luque98051¢0¢$0−$500−$12

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?38¢12.4k$4,71685%68
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?37¢2,050$75885%68
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?92.6¢2,531$2,34485%68
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?91.7¢4,869$4,46585%68
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?97.8¢1,681$1,64485%68
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?97.5¢3,997$3,89785%68
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?37¢9,000$3,33085%68
SELL YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?8.9¢7,679$68685%68
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?46¢11.0k$5,06085%68
SELL YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?24.5¢5,475$1,33985%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?93.8¢2,154$2,02185%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?92.3¢817$75485%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?89¢1,176$1,04685%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?87.8¢11.4k$10.0k85%68Whale
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?46¢4,000$1,84085%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?48¢5,000$2,40085%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?40.8¢4,154$1,69685%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?85.7¢1,210$1,03785%68
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?94.1¢656$61785%68
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?87¢2,000$1,74085%68