| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.4k | 53.9¢ | 85¢ | $38.6k | +$14.1k | +$45 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.7k | 78.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $12.5k | +$1,752 | +$339 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 7,651 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $6,924 | −$116 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 8,970 | 58.6¢ | 60¢ | $5,382 | +$128 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5,500 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $5,033 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,541 | 66.6¢ | 76.5¢ | $5,004 | +$648 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6,000 | 78.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $4,410 | −$280 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,258 | 53.9¢ | 66.5¢ | $3,497 | +$661 | +$392 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,734 | 68¢ | 92.5¢ | $2,529 | +$669 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,317 | 92¢ | 97.5¢ | $2,259 | +$128 | +$13 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,500 | 83.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $2,113 | +$23 | +$6,110 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.5k | 13.5¢ | 14.9¢ | $2,012 | +$182 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.0k | 5¢ | 13.2¢ | $1,972 | +$1,225 | +$376 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 9,000 | 65.6¢ | 17.5¢ | $1,575 | −$4,325 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 7,615 | 56.2¢ | 19.5¢ | $1,485 | −$2,797 | −$106 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,182 | 42.1¢ | 65.5¢ | $1,429 | +$510 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,950 | 62.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,219 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,628 | 42.7¢ | 72.5¢ | $1,180 | +$485 | +$114 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7,518 | 20.9¢ | 14.5¢ | $1,090 | −$483 | −$35 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,500 | 50¢ | 69¢ | $1,035 | +$285 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.8k | 8.1¢ | 7.5¢ | $953 | −$79 | +$101 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,882 | 40.6¢ | 49.5¢ | $932 | +$168 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $905 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.7k | 5.7¢ | 4.6¢ | $851 | −$209 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 3,840 | 51.5¢ | 19.5¢ | $749 | −$1,228 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 30¢ | 35.5¢ | $710 | +$110 | −$590 | |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 1,115 | 51¢ | 63.5¢ | $708 | +$139 | +$282 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 1,400 | 38¢ | 50.5¢ | $707 | +$175 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? | No | 813 | 53.5¢ | 67.5¢ | $549 | +$114 | +$25 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 2,988 | 41.2¢ | 18¢ | $538 | −$693 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 49.6¢ | 52.2¢ | $522 | +$26 | +$10 | |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | No | 675 | 47.4¢ | 76.5¢ | $517 | +$197 | +$24 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 600 | 57¢ | 75.5¢ | $453 | +$111 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,500 | 22.1¢ | 7.5¢ | $262 | −$512 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 53¢ | 44.5¢ | $223 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 650 | 45.1¢ | 33.5¢ | $218 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,600 | 27.2¢ | 10¢ | $160 | −$276 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 603 | 40.2¢ | 24.5¢ | $148 | −$95 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 1,888 | 50.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $123 | −$827 | −$205 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,862 | 16.6¢ | 2.3¢ | $43 | −$266 | −$4.33 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 103 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | $9.74 | −$2.56 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 64¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.25 | −$320 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 28.2k | 29.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,216 | +$1,300 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 21.2k | 70.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.0k | +$306 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.1k | 16.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,345 | +$7.47 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? | Yes | 14.1k | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,449 | −$1,525 | |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.6k | 57.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,626 | +$393 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 11.3k | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,251 | +$1,650 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | No | 9,957 | 58.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,804 | −$21 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 8,182 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,108 | −$781 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7,149 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,937 | $0 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | Yes | 6,403 | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$278 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Yes | 5,968 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,911 | +$113 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 5,553 | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$581 | +$269 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | 5,441 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,775 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 5,094 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,597 | −$139 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,038 | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$864 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 4,766 | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$407 | +$746 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? | No | 4,718 | 63.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,986 | −$107 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 4,575 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,100 | +$453 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 4,325 | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$394 | −$114 | |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,245 | 21.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$924 | $0 | |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | No | 4,213 | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,637 | −$1,598 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | No | 4,077 | 77.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,173 | −$65 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,950 | 85.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,368 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 3,924 | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,957 | −$6.10 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | Yes | 3,896 | 72.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,824 | +$1.16 | |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? | Yes | 3,765 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$245 | −$181 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,750 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | +$0.01 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 3,500 | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$591 | −$150 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | Yes | 3,323 | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$279 | −$583 | |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | No | 3,312 | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,653 | +$848 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 3,140 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$692 | −$156 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | No | 3,120 | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,023 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 3,100 | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$560 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | Yes | 3,025 | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$406 | −$16 | |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$225 | $0 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | Yes | 3,000 | 89.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,685 | $0 | |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$380 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | Yes | 2,905 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,382 | +$15 | |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 2,746 | 65.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,789 | +$0.06 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? | Yes | 2,731 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$273 | +$109 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,600 | 18.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$480 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | Yes | 2,500 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$275 | $0 | |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? | No | 2,477 | 45.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,130 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 2,429 | 22.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$550 | $0 | |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,400 | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$741 | −$97 | |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31? | Yes | 2,347 | 37.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$887 | −$83 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 2,339 | 27.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$638 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 2,325 | 29.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$691 | −$5.49 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | Yes | 2,264 | 88.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,010 | $0 | |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 2,200 | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$213 | −$881 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 2,125 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$191 | −$65 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | Yes | 2,068 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$290 | +$170 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? | No | 2,000 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | −$4.07 | |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,000 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$354 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2,000 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,040 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026? | No | 1,890 | 55.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,050 | −$714 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 1,811 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$760 | +$361 | |