sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Giorgio2

0x9cb…7b80
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$32.8kvol $2.40M
PnL 30d+$3,523gains $3,269 · losses $977
PnL 7d+$722win rate 7d 76.9%
Win rate69.6%adj 68.8% · 30d 67.9%
Open value$23.8kcash n/a
Positions72 / 926open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.7%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$34.3kbelow peak −$381Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 69.6% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yesclosed+$2,326Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? · Yesclosed+$1,852Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$1,473Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yesclosed+$1,354Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed+$1,238

Worst markets

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed−$891Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed−$695Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Noclosed−$614Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Noclosed−$405Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre? · Yesclosed−$394

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8,00039.1¢40.6¢$3,248+$124+$18
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No3,00090.7¢86.8¢$2,602−$120−$7.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No2,00084.5¢85.5¢$1,710+$19+$250
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,50075.6¢87.9¢$1,319+$185+$1,288
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00060.1¢61.5¢$1,230+$28$0
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No1,00090.2¢94.5¢$945+$43$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,93920.1¢21.5¢$847+$56+$200
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No1,00082¢83¢$830+$9.50$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No80089¢88.5¢$708−$4.00+$238
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,01870.5¢69¢$702−$15+$5.02
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No70095.1¢94.4¢$661−$4.87$0
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes63890.7¢97.2¢$620+$41$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No73950¢82.3¢$608+$238$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes73562.2¢65.6¢$482+$25+$103
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No50092¢94.5¢$473+$13$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No50085.5¢89¢$445+$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No65061.3¢63.5¢$413+$15−$7.74
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes50074.3¢79.5¢$398+$26$0
Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes41579.3¢91.1¢$378+$49+$16
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes45082¢82.5¢$371+$2.25$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No50063.6¢67.5¢$338+$19$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No50072¢67.5¢$338−$23$0
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No36881.7¢89.5¢$329+$29−$94
Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes50089.6¢65¢$325−$123$0
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?No36370.2¢86.5¢$314+$59+$6.71
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No37585¢83.5¢$313−$5.63−$100
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes75054.9¢40.7¢$305−$107+$166
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes30083¢83.5¢$251+$1.50+$100
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No24688.2¢96.1¢$236+$19+$14
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No28674.2¢78.5¢$225+$12+$38
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes25082¢89.5¢$224+$19$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes25075¢87.5¢$219+$31$0
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No21295¢96.4¢$204+$2.86$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes50053¢37.5¢$187−$77+$17
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,0004¢4.6¢$137+$15+$36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes73950¢17.8¢$131−$238$0
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No13990.4¢93.3¢$130+$3.97+$5.98
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No40638.3¢30.5¢$124−$32$0
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No11077.6¢94.6¢$104+$19+$76
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes85014.1¢9.5¢$81−$40+$76
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No7507¢7.3¢$55+$1.88+$280
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No5489¢94.6¢$51+$3.01+$14
Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5365¢80¢$42+$7.96$0
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes20028¢19.5¢$39−$17+$81
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes25021.7¢11.5¢$29−$26−$39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes15059¢15.5¢$23−$65−$264
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes2072.7¢5.4¢$11+$5.42$0
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes7502.5¢1.1¢$7.88−$11−$2.52
Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?No813¢95¢$7.75+$6.69+$45
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes37575¢1.3¢$4.69−$277−$31
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No578.3¢91.5¢$4.39+$0.63+$326
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,0001.1¢0.4¢$3.50−$7.50$0
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Yes2576¢10¢$2.50−$17+$1.94
Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Yes472¢69.5¢$2.48−$0.09$0
Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2212.7¢0.2¢$2.44−$30−$38
Will SER hold 65-67 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes588.4¢2.1¢$1.19−$3.69+$8.50
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?Yes146¢8¢$1.12+$0.28$0
Will SER hold 68-70 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes1141.3¢0.9¢$0.97−$0.50+$3.87
Will Union Centriste hold 53-55 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes533.4¢1.5¢$0.80−$1.00$0
Will SER hold 71 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes390.7¢1.2¢$0.45+$0.18$0
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.2¢$0.37−$5.43$0
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.2¢$0.37−$5.43$0
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$5.56$0
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.68$0
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2502.3¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.68$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?90.6¢252$22870%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?72¢457$32970%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?86¢50$4370%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?82¢5$4.3170%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?93.6¢5$4.9670%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.4¢20$0.0870%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.5¢122$0.6170%79Sharp
SELL YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5.8¢350$2070%79Sharp
BUY NoRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?79¢170$13470%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?75¢150$11370%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?92.1¢13$1270%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?88¢19$1770%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?11¢34$3.7270%79Sharp
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?42.5¢7$2.9870%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?10¢106$1170%79Sharp
BUY NoRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?81¢20$1670%79Sharp
BUY NoRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?80¢20$1670%79Sharp
BUY NoRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?81¢20$1670%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Belgium win on 2026-10-05?47¢53$2570%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?93¢5$5.0070%79Sharp