PnL all-time−$26.9kvol $1.23M
PnL 30d+$50gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$40win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.9%adj 60.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$8,389cash n/a
Positions13 / 275open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$26.5kbelow peak −$41.0kOct 14
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.9% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31? · Noclosed+$10.1kWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31? · Noclosed+$5,526Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$3,150Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,606Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026? · Noclosed+$1,767
Worst markets
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$7,092Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? · Noclosed−$6,228Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$5,544Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? · Noclosed−$5,309Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025? · Yesclosed−$5,139
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | Yes | 3,085 | 67.3¢ | 100¢ | $3,085 | +$1,007 | $0 | |
| Another US bank failure by March 31? | No | 2,346 | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | $2,346 | +$508 | +$80 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 1,981 | 75.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,892 | +$401 | $0 | |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | Yes | 1,066 | 76.6¢ | 100¢ | $1,066 | +$249 | $0 |
Recent trades
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