PnL all-time+$5,459vol $525k
PnL 30d+$3,861gains $5,403 · losses $2,161
PnL 7d+$2,342win rate 7d 81.0%
Win rate60.2%adj 59.8% · 30d 71.6%
Open value$2,722cash n/a
Positions6 / 1,855open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$7,121below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 60.2% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yesclosed+$836Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yesclosed+$676Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$417Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yesclosed+$359Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? · Yesclosed+$337
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$377Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Downclosed−$367Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? · Yesclosed−$312Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? · Yesclosed−$312Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Downclosed−$263
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | Yes | 791 | 55.9¢ | 92¢ | $728 | +$286 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 721 | 93.2¢ | 90.6¢ | $654 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | No | 541 | 91¢ | 99.5¢ | $538 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | No | 509 | 79.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $471 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 176 | 92.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $169 | +$7.45 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | No | 160 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $160 | +$14 | $0 |
Recent trades
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