PnL all-time−$29vol $26.1k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,020cash n/a
Positions8 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.8%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$29below peak −$29Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? · Noclosed+$4.42Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Noopen+$2.16Will Quinn Hughes win the Hart Trophy? · Noclosed+$1.66Will Solana reach $130 in March? · Noopen+$1.11Will XRP reach $2.80 November 3-9? · Noclosed+$1.01
Worst markets
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 23–30? · Yesclosed−$14UMass vs. Ohio · UMassopen−$12Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Han Dong-hoon? · Noclosed−$3.50Will Blu Chegini win Love Island season 12? · Yesopen−$2.60Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · Yesopen−$2.40
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | No | 470 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $470 | +$0.94 | $0 | |
| Will Solana reach $130 in March? | No | 370 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $370 | +$1.11 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 180 | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $180 | +$2.16 | $0 | |
| UMass vs. Ohio | UMass | 619 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Blu Chegini win Love Island season 12? | Yes | 582 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.60 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 30? | Yes | 409 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.52 | $0 | |
| Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15? | Yes | 320 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? | Yes | 152 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | $0 |
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