PnL all-time−$149vol $22.5k
PnL 30d+$85gains $74 · losses $1.93
PnL 7d+$25win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate95.2%adj 93.5% · 30d 98.4%
Open value$191cash n/a
Positions8 / 1,005open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.7%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$89below peak −$108Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 95.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11? · Noopen+$11Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 30? · Noclosed+$7.83Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 13? · Noclosed+$4.59Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? · Noclosed+$4.12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 17? · Noclosed+$3.89
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? · Noclosed−$52Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4? · Noclosed−$49Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20? · Noopen−$41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 1? · Noclosed−$36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19? · Noopen−$21
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11? | No | 131 | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | $131 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 12? | No | 41 | 97¢ | 98.4¢ | $40 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 12? | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $20 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20? | No | 42 | 96.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$0.07 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19? | No | 20 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | −$10 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19? | Yes | 15 | 54.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.19 | −$1.32 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29? | No | 3 | 97¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.91 | −$8.92 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 23? | No | 1 | 88.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.88 | −$0.48 |
Recent trades
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