PnL all-time−$7,711vol $231k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 54.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$14.7kcash n/a
Positions4 / 8open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$7,711below peak −$9,305Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
9/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable30
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 14.7k | 34¢ | 100¢ | $14.7k | +$9,706 | $0 | |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | Schimel | 124k | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10,000 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 26.3k | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 8,936 | 10.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$965 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | 10.8¢ | 8,936 | $965 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | 34¢ | 14.7k | $5,000 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | 19¢ | 26.3k | $5,000 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Schimel | Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | 4¢ | 25.1k | $1,000 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Schimel | Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | 4.8¢ | 62.8k | $3,000 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Schimel | Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | 17¢ | 17.6k | $3,000 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Schimel | Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | 16¢ | 18.8k | $3,000 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will Biden finish his term? | 24¢ | 20.8k | $5,000 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will Biden finish his term? | 36¢ | 2,548 | $917 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | 52¢ | 2,894 | $1,505 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Biden drops out in July? | 36¢ | 2,650 | $954 | 75% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Biden drops out of presidential race? | 61¢ | 896 | $546 | 75% | 9 |