sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,935

MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus

0x9d6…ab3a
WR 60+SportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$14.9kvol $2.62M
PnL 30d−$3,959gains $17.3k · losses $16.5k
PnL 7d+$371win rate 7d 61.0%
Win rate65.2%adj 64.6% · 30d 65.2%
Open value$12.4kcash n/a
Positions479 / 4,637open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 15h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8,818below peak −$9,535Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.2% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?No61292.3¢97.7¢$598+$33$0
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?No50094¢98.2¢$491+$21$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No45891¢98¢$449+$32$0
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?No40092¢96.1¢$384+$16$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes50082¢76.5¢$383−$28$0
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?Yes48383¢78¢$377−$24$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No41071.3¢88.5¢$363+$70$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No34387.4¢97.3¢$333+$34$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes35067.3¢87.5¢$306+$71$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No30063.7¢85.5¢$257+$66$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No21493.4¢99.4¢$213+$13$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No22588.4¢92¢$207+$8.00$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No20796.3¢99.5¢$206+$6.53$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No22083.5¢92.5¢$204+$20$0
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?No20097.7¢99.9¢$200+$4.30$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes22086.5¢90.5¢$199+$8.70$0
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?No20093¢98¢$196+$10$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No20085¢97.1¢$194+$24$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No20084¢95.7¢$191+$23$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No20087¢95.5¢$191+$17+$18
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?No20090.4¢95¢$190+$9.20$0
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?No20089¢94.9¢$190+$12$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo20083¢91.5¢$183+$17$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes30023.3¢60.4¢$181+$111$0
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?No20088¢88¢$176$0$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?No17196.5¢97¢$166+$0.87$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No20054¢82.5¢$165+$57−$2.27
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?No25076¢65¢$163−$27$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes20077¢80.5¢$161+$7.00$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No17862.3¢87.5¢$156+$45$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No14284.7¢97.4¢$138+$18−$64
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Yes20060¢67.5¢$135+$15$0
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No15060¢86¢$129+$39$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No15060¢85.5¢$128+$38$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No22679.2¢56¢$127−$52$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes30068¢40.5¢$122−$83$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?No19880¢59.5¢$118−$40$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No20021.2¢52.1¢$104+$62$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No10096.2¢98.7¢$99+$2.45$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?No10098¢98.3¢$98+$0.25$0
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No10093¢97.9¢$98+$4.90$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No10090¢97.4¢$97+$7.40$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No10092¢96.8¢$97+$4.80$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No10088¢96.4¢$96+$8.40$0
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No10095¢95.5¢$96+$0.50$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No9977.6¢95.5¢$95+$18$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No10080¢93.9¢$94+$14$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?No11547.7¢80¢$92+$37$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No10054¢89.5¢$90+$36$0
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No8993¢97.8¢$87+$4.23$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No10062¢86.5¢$87+$25$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No10065¢85.5¢$86+$21$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes8987.6¢93.5¢$84+$5.31$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No10074¢82.5¢$83+$8.50$0
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No9868¢83¢$81+$15$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?No10080¢77.5¢$78−$2.50$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No9776.2¢79¢$77+$2.74$0
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No10079.2¢71¢$71−$8.17$0
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No10064.7¢70.2¢$70+$5.45$0
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?No10078¢69.5¢$70−$8.50$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes10049¢66.5¢$66+$17$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes6088¢95.9¢$58+$4.74$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No5985¢96.9¢$57+$6.97$0
Clavicular in jail by October 31?No5492¢97.5¢$53+$2.96$0
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes12015¢43.5¢$52+$34$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No5297.5¢99¢$51+$0.75−$40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No5191.4¢97.8¢$50+$3.23$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No5095.7¢99.5¢$50+$1.90$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No5191.6¢97.4¢$50+$2.94$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes11686¢42.5¢$49−$51$0
New pandemic in 2026?No5089¢95.5¢$48+$3.25$0
US recession by end of 2026?No5069¢93.5¢$47+$12$0
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No5094.9¢92.3¢$46−$1.32$0
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No5077¢92¢$46+$7.50$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No4970¢93.3¢$46+$11$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No5076¢91.5¢$46+$7.75$0
Discord IPO before 2027?No5046.9¢90.8¢$45+$22$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes15034¢27¢$41−$11$0
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No3878.8¢96.3¢$37+$6.64$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No3586¢96.2¢$34+$3.56$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes40075.2¢8¢$32−$269$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No4274¢74.5¢$32+$0.21−$57
Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No4062¢76¢$30+$5.60$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?No3087¢98.2¢$29+$3.36$0
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No3085¢98¢$29+$3.90$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No3070¢97.2¢$29+$8.16$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?No3089¢96.5¢$29+$2.25$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No3065.7¢90.5¢$27+$7.45$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes3290¢81.5¢$26−$2.69$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes50027¢4.9¢$25−$110$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?No10052¢24¢$24−$28$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No2290.4¢95.8¢$21+$1.20$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No2090¢97.5¢$19+$1.49$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No2084¢96.4¢$19+$2.47$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No2084¢95.8¢$19+$2.36$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No2084¢94.5¢$19+$2.10$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No2080¢93.5¢$19+$2.70$0
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes3089¢62¢$19−$8.10$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No2084¢92.6¢$19+$1.72$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No2057¢89.5¢$18+$6.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?99.6¢700$69765%38
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?99.9¢2,100$2,09865%38
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?99.6¢500$49865%38
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?99.8¢745$74365%38
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?99.6¢500$49865%38
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?99.8¢10$9.9865%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET64¢8$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET73¢7$5.0065%38
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET21¢5$1.0065%38
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET21¢5$1.0065%38
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET19.4¢5$1.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET68¢1$1.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET70¢7$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET71¢7$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET72¢7$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET78¢6$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET81¢6$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET82¢6$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET82¢6$5.0065%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET82¢6$5.0065%38