sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,971

CakeBake

0x9d8…fcaf
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$21.4kvol $3.34M
PnL 30d+$4,834gains $9,208 · losses $1,949
PnL 7d−$1,989win rate 7d 86.7%
Win rate90.2%adj 88.7% · 30d 93.3%
Open value$43.3kcash n/a
Positions44 / 795open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$21.3kbelow peak −$21.6kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? · Yesclosed+$4,607Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · Yesclosed+$3,232Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? · Yesclosed+$1,570Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 30 million or more views on day 5? · Yesclosed+$1,461Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? · Noclosed+$698

Worst markets

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Noopen−$13.9kWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · Yesopen−$9,111Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? · Noopen−$8,594Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3? · Yesopen−$4,622Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? · Noclosed−$3,660

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Yes9,41899.9¢100¢$9,414+$4.72+$85
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No9,99999.8¢91.6¢$9,159−$820−$31
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No6,78499.9¢98.4¢$6,676−$102$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No5,80599.9¢100¢$5,803+$3.71$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No3,65599.8¢100¢$3,653+$5.49$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No3,57599.6¢92.6¢$3,310−$250−$11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?No2,28099.9¢100¢$2,279+$1.14$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No1,17899.9¢100¢$1,178+$0.59$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?No1,15399.9¢100¢$1,152+$0.58$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?No40899.9¢100¢$408+$0.22$0
Will MrBeast's next video get 206 million or more views on day 6?No15099.7¢99.1¢$148−$0.95$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 204 and 206 million views on day 6?No8596.5¢98.4¢$84+$1.64$0
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 175 million views on week 1?No4099¢100¢$40+$0.38$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?Yes16.2k17¢0¢$0−$2,748−$1,874
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?Yes15.7k16.6¢0¢$0−$2,605−$0.58
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?No14.8k92.8¢0¢$0−$13.8k−$89
Will MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4?Yes13.0k16.6¢0¢$0−$2,161−$0.07
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 53 million views on day 4?Yes12.6k16.6¢0¢$0−$2,086−$0.56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?Yes11.7k16.6¢0¢$0−$1,936−$804
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 48 million views on day 3?Yes11.3k16.5¢0¢$0−$1,865−$1,788
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No9,25092.8¢0¢$0−$8,582−$12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes8,58994.3¢0¢$0−$8,099−$1,012
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?Yes5,84016.5¢0¢$0−$963−$0.50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?Yes4,50416.6¢0¢$0−$749−$0.07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4?Yes3,78745.6¢0¢$0−$1,726−$42
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?Yes2,79431.9¢0¢$0−$891−$27
Will MrBeast's video get between 69 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes2,2720.4¢0¢$0−$9.88$0
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 69 million views on week 1?Yes2,2700.5¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?Yes2,0333¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5?Yes1,40316.6¢0¢$0−$233−$383
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?No1,22683.9¢0¢$0−$1,029−$6.64
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6?Yes1,1425¢0¢$0−$57−$47
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5?Yes60650¢0¢$0−$303−$7.58
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2?Yes2226.8¢0¢$0−$15−$0.71
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?Yes15110.3¢0¢$0−$16−$0.70
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 84 and 85 million views on week 1?Yes12474.4¢0¢$0−$92−$1.18
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 13 above $70?Yes10084¢0¢$0−$84−$0.54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.0 and 77.5 million views on day 6?Yes10026¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?No6021.8¢0¢$0−$13−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?Yes293.4¢0¢$0−$0.99−$0.05
Will Starmer not participate in the next PMQ?Yes209¢0¢$0−$1.80−$0.07
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?Yes1151¢0¢$0−$5.61−$0.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp1028¢0¢$0−$2.80−$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes632.2¢0¢$0−$1.93−$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?97.9¢293$28790%45
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get 206 million or more views on day 6?99.9¢120$12090%45
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 204 and 206 million views on day 6?96.5¢85$8290%45
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get 206 million or more views on day 6?98.8¢30$2990%45
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?92¢109$10090%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?96.6¢260$25190%45
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?96.6¢100$9790%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.8¢3,655$3,64890%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.9¢6,784$6,77790%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?98.5¢209$20690%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.8¢109$10990%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.8¢3,568$3,56190%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?99.8¢10.5k$10.5k90%45Whale
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 172 and 174 million views on day 5?99.9¢20$2090%45
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get less than 175 million views on week 1?99¢40$3990%45
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?21.8¢60$1390%45
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 139 and 141 million views on day 4?99.9¢20$2090%45
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?99.9¢1,153$1,15290%45
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?97.8¢855$83690%45
BUY YesWill MrBeast's next video get 125 million or more views on day 3?99.9¢85$8590%45