sharpside
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0x9dd…08bd

0x9dd…08bd
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$36.3kvol $11.9M
PnL 30d+$2,011gains $1,755 · losses $3,558
PnL 7d+$232win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate8.6%adj 10.2% · 30d 8.6%
Open value$54.3kcash n/a
Positions790 / 30,039open / all-time
Max drawdown−86.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$42.9kbelow peak −$7,098Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 8.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity14

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,33627.5¢91.5¢$2,137+$1,495$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No1,80469¢93.7¢$1,690+$446+$94
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,26137.6¢93.5¢$1,179+$705+$8.22
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?Yes95889.9¢96.2¢$921+$59$0
Celonis IPO before 2027?No82064.1¢97.1¢$796+$271$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes1,62723.5¢48.5¢$789+$406+$23
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes95976.5¢69.5¢$667−$67$0
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?Yes68884.8¢95.5¢$657+$73$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No63234.1¢95.5¢$604+$388$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No61351.7¢96.1¢$589+$272$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No60269.2¢95.5¢$575+$158+$0.89
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes57787.6¢97.4¢$562+$56+$0.30
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes55485.3¢98¢$543+$70+$5.03
Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat?No52275.5¢98.4¢$514+$119$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes6303.9¢78.5¢$494+$469+$1.95
Will the Republican Party win the IL-11 House seat?No49991.6¢97.8¢$488+$31$0
Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No48694.1¢96.8¢$470+$13+$2.29
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?No49190.4¢95.5¢$469+$25$0
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No63072¢72.5¢$457+$3.15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?No46686.6¢96.5¢$449+$46$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes67060.8¢63.5¢$425+$18+$12
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?No47788¢87.5¢$417−$2.38$0
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Yes43484.5¢95.5¢$414+$48$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat?No41690.3¢97.3¢$405+$29$0
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No48852.1¢80.5¢$393+$139+$8.48
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes41087.5¢95.6¢$392+$33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?Yes37974¢98.2¢$372+$92+$5.00
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes39085.7¢94¢$366+$32$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?Yes37788.6¢96.9¢$365+$31+$0.54
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No46662.6¢76.5¢$356+$65+$108
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes39884.5¢89.5¢$356+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-01 House seat?No34589.8¢99.4¢$343+$33$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?No34991¢96.6¢$337+$19$0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Yes34384.5¢98.1¢$336+$47$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?No34992¢96.4¢$336+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Yes34988.2¢96¢$335+$27$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?No33989.4¢98.5¢$334+$31$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?No34492¢96.7¢$333+$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes37971.9¢86.5¢$328+$55+$0.33
Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?No33992¢96.4¢$327+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?No33492¢97.7¢$326+$19$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat?No33991.8¢95.5¢$324+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Yes33183.9¢97.5¢$323+$45+$0.40
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?Yes32592¢97.2¢$316+$17$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?No32486.8¢97.3¢$315+$34$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No36691.8¢86¢$315−$22$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes33279.1¢91.5¢$304+$41+$2.70
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?No29491.4¢99.5¢$292+$24$0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?No30191.8¢95.6¢$288+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Yes30086¢94.5¢$284+$26$0
Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?No29092¢97¢$281+$14+$0.78
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Yes37664.3¢74.5¢$280+$38+$0.56
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?Yes28985¢95.2¢$275+$29$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-20 House seat?No27892¢97.3¢$270+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?No27587.8¢94.3¢$259+$18$0
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes1,56037.7¢16.5¢$257−$330$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes28277.1¢91¢$257+$39+$0.94
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?No26482¢95.5¢$252+$36$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?Yes26384.2¢95.3¢$251+$29+$13
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?No26487.6¢94.6¢$250+$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?No26986.5¢92.5¢$249+$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-29 House seat?No25592¢97¢$247+$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?No25092¢98.7¢$247+$17$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?No25092¢98.1¢$245+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the CT-02 House seat?No24991.6¢97.8¢$244+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?No24892¢97.9¢$243+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?No24492¢98.8¢$241+$17$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes29584¢81.5¢$240−$7.38−$0.03
Will the Republican Party win the NY-25 House seat?No24592¢97.7¢$239+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?No24592¢97.2¢$238+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?No25085.7¢95.2¢$238+$24$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?No24492¢97.4¢$238+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-09 House seat?No24592¢96.4¢$236+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?No23991.2¢98¢$234+$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?Yes24477.5¢95.7¢$234+$44+$31
Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?No23992¢97.1¢$232+$12$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat?No23991.4¢96.3¢$230+$12$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?No25687.6¢89.5¢$229+$4.84$0
Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat?No23492¢96.8¢$227+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat?No23592¢96¢$226+$9.40$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-26 House seat?No22991¢97.6¢$224+$15$0
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?No23476.1¢95.3¢$223+$45$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?No22691.8¢97.8¢$221+$14$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat?No22592¢97.8¢$220+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?No22592¢97.7¢$220+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?Yes22189.8¢97.6¢$216+$17+$0.38
Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?No21992¢97.9¢$214+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?No23586.9¢90.5¢$213+$8.53$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat?No22092¢96.7¢$213+$10+$0.67
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes21986.5¢94.5¢$207+$18$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?Yes23084.7¢89.5¢$206+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?No21092¢95.4¢$200+$7.04$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-07 House seat?No20877.3¢95.6¢$199+$38$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?No20091¢98.3¢$197+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?No20092¢97.7¢$195+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?No19987¢97.6¢$194+$21$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?No20092¢95.5¢$191+$7.00$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?No19591.7¢97.7¢$191+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes20232.2¢93.5¢$189+$124+$50
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No68641.6¢27.5¢$189−$96$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?97¢11$119%45
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?96.7¢32$319%45
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?41¢100$419%45
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?41¢100$419%45
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?99.8¢244$2449%45
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?40¢10$4.009%45
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?40¢10$4.009%45
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?40¢10$4.009%45
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?40¢10$4.009%45
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?40¢10$4.009%45
SELL NoWill Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?99.9¢9$8.999%45
SELL NoWill Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?99.9¢81$819%45
SELL NoWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?99.9¢798$7979%45
BUY FalconsSpread: Falcons (-14.5)4.7¢198$9.329%45
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?23¢10$2.309%45
SELL NoWill Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?4.3¢4$0.179%45
SELL YesWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?31¢33$109%45
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?88.4¢7$6.199%45
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?83¢11$9.139%45
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?72¢6$4.329%45