PnL all-time+$1,551vol $171k
PnL 30d−$743gains $605 · losses $1,166
PnL 7d−$122win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate64.5%adj 62.2% · 30d 58.1%
Open value$5,451cash n/a
Positions10 / 117open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 11d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$455below peak −$1,364Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 64.5% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d63
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · Yesclosed+$1,246Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Noclosed+$968Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? · Yesclosed+$769Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$480Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Noclosed+$427
Worst markets
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$995Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? · Yesopen−$726Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? · Yesclosed−$683Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$642Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? · Yesclosed−$596
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | Yes | 5,231 | 33.4¢ | 37¢ | $1,935 | +$191 | +$1.51 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | No | 1,879 | 62.7¢ | 52.5¢ | $986 | −$192 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September? | No | 974 | 83.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $852 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September? | No | 725 | 89.5¢ | 99¢ | $717 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | No | 1,081 | 77.3¢ | 56.5¢ | $611 | −$224 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? | Yes | 3,268 | 23.6¢ | 5¢ | $163 | −$607 | −$120 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September? | No | 100 | 83¢ | 87.5¢ | $88 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September? | No | 60 | 90¢ | 88.5¢ | $53 | −$0.90 | +$1.60 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September? | No | 27 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $25 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in September? | No | 20 | 92¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$1.59 | $0 |
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