Traders/Rank #16,675

Skywill

0x9e4…4938

Weather

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$843vol $606k

PnL 30d+$555gains $8,579 · losses $1,268

PnL 7d+$165win rate 7d 44.8%

Win rate48.5%adj 48.6% · 30d 61.4%

Open value$507cash n/a

Positions1,080 / 2,464open / all-time

Max drawdown−75.8%of equity peak

Account age4molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,059below peak −$290Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 48.5% · shrunk toward 50%22

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity24

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · Yesclosed+$614 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7? · Yesclosed+$407 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6? · Yesclosed+$365 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 14? · Yesclosed+$345 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? · Yesclosed+$335

Worst markets

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1? · Yesclosed−$219 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18? · Yesopen−$210 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 14? · Yesopen−$191 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20? · Yesopen−$184 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28? · Yesopen−$184

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	265	52.5¢	85.5¢	$227	+$87	−$8.44	3mo
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	680	28¢	12.7¢	$86	−$104	$0	3mo
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	130	45¢	43¢	$56	−$2.60	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	100	40¢	37.5¢	$38	−$2.50	$0	47m
Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	696	5.5¢	3.2¢	$22	−$16	$0	3mo
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	107	14.8¢	19.5¢	$21	+$5.00	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	100	21¢	16.5¢	$17	−$4.50	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	120	10.3¢	11.5¢	$14	+$1.44	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	100	6¢	10.5¢	$11	+$4.50	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	86	8¢	10¢	$8.60	+$1.72	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	225	3¢	1.4¢	$3.04	−$3.74	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	149	1.2¢	1.2¢	$1.72	−$0.10	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	62	1¢	1.8¢	$1.09	+$0.47	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	1,200	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0.60	−$0.60	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	55	0.8¢	1¢	$0.55	+$0.10	$0	47m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	686	0.2¢	0.1¢	$0.34	−$1.14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	585	0.7¢	0.1¢	$0.29	−$3.56	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	464	4.2¢	0.1¢	$0.23	−$19	−$4.07	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	200	0.2¢	0.1¢	$0.10	−$0.30	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	200	0.5¢	0.1¢	$0.10	−$0.90	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	143	7.9¢	0.1¢	$0.07	−$11	+$7.47	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	137	61.1¢	0.1¢	$0.07	−$83	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	90	20.1¢	0.1¢	$0.04	−$18	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on October 13?	Yes	89	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0.04	−$0.04	+$0.32	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	47	6.8¢	0.1¢	$0.02	−$3.22	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	1,580	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$6.17	−$0.05	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	1,526	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.37	−$0.07	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	1,369	8.3¢	0¢	$0	−$114	−$3.51	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 24?	Yes	1,300	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.99	−$0.08	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?	Yes	1,220	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$4.69	−$0.12	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	1,202	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$15	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?	Yes	1,180	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$3.03	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	1,133	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$32	+$13	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 11?	Yes	1,042	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.49	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on August 19?	Yes	1,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.05	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	1,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	980	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$4.27	−$0.39	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	957	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$6.15	−$0.01	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?	Yes	953	19¢	0¢	$0	−$181	−$3.13	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 6?	Yes	944	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$7.51	−$4.08	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	940	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 8?	Yes	918	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$5.17	−$0.16	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 22?	Yes	849	2¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$5.38	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 6?	Yes	836	7.6¢	0¢	$0	−$64	−$27	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	814	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.10	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 5?	Yes	804	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.48	−$0.07	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	800	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$5.11	−$0.25	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	800	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$2.20	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on August 14?	Yes	800	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.60	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 8?	Yes	799	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.99	−$0.01	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 31?	Yes	789	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$4.29	−$0.10	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	771	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$3.82	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 4?	Yes	763	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.91	−$0.08	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?	Yes	752	4.4¢	0¢	$0	−$33	−$0.75	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	Yes	735	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2.94	−$0.23	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	734	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.76	−$0.16	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	730	10.4¢	0¢	$0	−$76	−$12	ended
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	718	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$3.42	−$0.02	ended
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	708	3.2¢	0¢	$0	−$22	+$5.17	17d 0h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 28?	Yes	692	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$2.30	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	685	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.04	ended
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 31?	Yes	680	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2.89	−$0.11	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on September 10?	Yes	665	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.66	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	658	2.2¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	656	2.9¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$0.04	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	651	3.2¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.30	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	643	10.2¢	0¢	$0	−$65	−$3.48	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 19?	Yes	636	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$9.73	−$0.45	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 11?	Yes	635	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.49	+$6.74	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	619	13.4¢	0¢	$0	−$83	−$31	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	610	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$7.62	−$1.15	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 28?	Yes	608	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$1.57	−$0.05	ended
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 29?	Yes	600	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2.20	−$0.09	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	600	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$2.86	−$0.08	ended
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4?	Yes	600	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$4.29	−$0.12	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	599	26¢	0¢	$0	−$156	−$5.76	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	597	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$12	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on October 8?	Yes	596	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.60	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 1?	Yes	596	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$2.87	−$0.35	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 15?	Yes	591	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.59	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 1?	Yes	590	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$4.08	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	589	35¢	0¢	$0	−$206	−$3.88	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on September 12?	Yes	585	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.34	−$0.02	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 24?	Yes	584	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$5.71	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	575	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2.21	−$0.89	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	572	31.2¢	0¢	$0	−$179	−$5.04	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 12?	Yes	572	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.57	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 10?	Yes	555	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.55	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	551	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$6.53	−$4.55	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on September 25?	Yes	544	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$3.70	−$3.24	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 28?	Yes	537	7¢	0¢	$0	−$38	−$2.57	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	535	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$15	+$6.55	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 9?	Yes	532	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$4.02	−$1.70	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	529	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.53	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	Yes	517	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$5.69	−$0.15	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20?	Yes	512	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$3.50	−$0.09	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	509	7.6¢	0¢	$0	−$39	+$84	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3?	Yes	507	7.3¢	0¢	$0	−$37	−$13	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on September 28?	Yes	503	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.50	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 11?	Yes	502	8.4¢	0¢	$0	−$42	+$6.62	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
7h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 14?	7¢	40	$2.80	49%	37
7h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 14?	6.8¢	20	$1.37	49%	37
7h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 14?	2.1¢	35	$0.73	49%	37
10h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 14?	0.6¢	152	$0.91	49%	37
10h ago	SELL LGD Gaming	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	31¢	13	$3.93	49%	37
10h ago	BUY LGD Gaming	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	7¢	29	$2.00	49%	37
10h ago	BUY LGD Gaming	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	9¢	22	$2.00	49%	37
10h ago	BUY LGD Gaming	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	62¢	8	$5.00	49%	37
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 14?	0.2¢	90	$0.18	49%	37
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 14?	0.5¢	200	$1.00	49%	37
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 14?	13.9¢	75	$10	49%	37
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 14?	0.9¢	109	$0.94	49%	37
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 14?	3.3¢	44	$1.46	49%	37
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 14?	1.2¢	53	$0.64	49%	37
13h ago	BUY Team WE	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	58¢	17	$10	49%	37
13h ago	BUY Team WE	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	64¢	20	$13	49%	37
13h ago	BUY Team WE	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	65¢	8	$5.00	49%	37
13h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	99.9¢	300	$300	49%	37
15h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	45¢	130	$59	49%	37
15h ago	SELL Yes	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	69.7¢	60	$42	49%	37