sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,970

carlos484

0x9e7…99c4
WhalePnL 10k+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$43.9kvol $712k
PnL 30d+$18.8kgains $31.2k · losses $864
PnL 7d+$428win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate62.2%adj 57.9% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$127kcash n/a
Positions5 / 42open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.2%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$47.5kbelow peak −$72Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 62.2% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No90.2k76.2¢79.5¢$71.7k+$3,001−$37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No62.3k90.1¢89.5¢$55.7k−$390$0
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance5,16967¢0¢$0−$3,463−$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp28570.1¢0¢$0−$200−$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp12931¢0¢$0−$40−$3.53

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91¢1,191$1,08462%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?80¢280$22462%50
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63¢349$22062%50
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?65¢349$22762%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?80.8¢33.1k$26.8k62%50Whale
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢25.0k$21.0k62%50Whale
SELL NoIran full airspace closure by December 31?77.9¢7,345$5,72562%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢5,979$5,26162%50
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?95.2¢5,528$5,26162%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢1,694$1,52462%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢12.7k$10.0k62%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢5,556$5,00062%50
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢595$50062%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?77.8¢6,429$5,00062%50
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?90.5¢5,528$5,00062%50
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢595$50062%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78¢6,410$5,00062%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90.9¢5,502$5,00062%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91.2¢16.5k$15.0k62%50Whale
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91¢5,495$5,00062%50