PnL all-time+$59.2kvol $1.60M
PnL 30d+$138gains $798 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$747win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate97.7%adj 88.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$104kcash n/a
Positions8 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.9%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 16d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$64.2kbelow peak −$1,321Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 97.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d45
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Noclosed+$5,259Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? · Noclosed+$4,096Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$3,295Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$3,090Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$2,599
Worst markets
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Yesopen−$2,479Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1,576Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed−$272Maduro out in 2025? · Noclosed−$212Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$101
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 40.6k | 95.4¢ | 99.9¢ | $40.5k | +$1,808 | +$662 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 43.1k | 84.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $39.1k | +$2,599 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.7k | 93.4¢ | 96.4¢ | $10.3k | +$318 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5,800 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $5,507 | +$461 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6,700 | 75¢ | 73.5¢ | $4,925 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5,036 | 81.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $4,105 | +$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | Yes | 3,500 | 70.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,479 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,200 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,536 | −$40 |
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