Traders/Rank #1,710

YoungAlphaGoat

0x9e8…301c@km_poly

PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$75.3kvol $5.91M

PnL 30d+$24.4kgains $43.9k · losses $15.1k

PnL 7d+$3,346win rate 7d 53.5%

Win rate49.3%adj 49.3% · 30d 55.1%

Open value$10.5kcash n/a

Positions137 / 2,217open / all-time

Max drawdown−12.5%of equity peak

Account age1.1ylast trade 43m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$92.0kbelow peak −$710Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70

Adjusted win rateraw 49.3% · shrunk toward 50%23

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Noclosed+$15.8k Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? · Underclosed+$3,153 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yesclosed+$2,434 Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes? · Yesclosed+$2,335 Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · Yesclosed+$1,838

Worst markets

Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Noclosed−$2,452 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yesclosed−$2,014 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yesclosed−$1,217 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yesclosed−$1,035 Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes? · Yesclosed−$866

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will BNY (BNY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,902	85.3¢	92¢	$1,750	+$127	$0	6d 0h
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	1,790	11.9¢	89.5¢	$1,602	+$1,389	$0	ended
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?	No	1,231	30.6¢	87.5¢	$1,077	+$700	+$121	3mo
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,202	79.1¢	88.5¢	$1,064	+$113	$0	4d 0h
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?	No	454	75¢	98.4¢	$447	+$106	+$90	3mo
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	Yes	433	89.8¢	97.3¢	$421	+$32	+$56	ended
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?	No	324	92.5¢	99.7¢	$323	+$23	+$13	3mo
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	677	12.2¢	41¢	$278	+$195	$0	3mo
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	Yes	673	3.9¢	34.8¢	$234	+$208	+$23	18d 0h
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	2,639	3.2¢	8.2¢	$216	+$132	+$798	15mo
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	368	42¢	55.5¢	$204	+$50	+$323	21d 0h
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?	Yes	591	29.9¢	34.5¢	$204	+$27	+$59	3mo
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	200	60¢	99¢	$198	+$78	+$102	ended
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?	No	287	65.3¢	68¢	$195	+$7.89	+$0.88	3mo
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	500	36.1¢	38.5¢	$193	+$12	$0	4d 0h
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	372	34.4¢	44.5¢	$166	+$37	+$8.48	21d 0h
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?	No	171	63.8¢	87¢	$149	+$40	$0	3mo
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?	No	358	57.1¢	40.5¢	$145	−$59	+$99	3mo
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	Yes	167	1.7¢	85.3¢	$142	+$139	$0	3mo
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	1,621	38.1¢	8.4¢	$136	−$482	$0	4mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	Yes	305	67.3¢	39.5¢	$121	−$85	$0	3mo
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	119	91¢	99.6¢	$118	+$10	$0	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	Yes	249	38.7¢	40.5¢	$101	+$4.42	−$59	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	144	32.1¢	60.5¢	$87	+$41	+$448	3mo
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?	No	150	65¢	57.5¢	$86	−$11	$0	3mo
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31?	No	119	40.5¢	71.5¢	$85	+$37	+$392	3mo
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?	No	120	45¢	67.2¢	$81	+$27	+$365	3mo
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	1,070	12.4¢	7.2¢	$78	−$55	$0	ended
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?	Yes	118	45.3¢	59.5¢	$70	+$17	+$0.63	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	No	64	80¢	92¢	$59	+$7.62	+$0.60	3mo
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	65	0¢	88.5¢	$58	+$58	$0	ended
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?	Yes	150	54¢	32.9¢	$49	−$32	−$53	3mo
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	444	49¢	9.5¢	$42	−$175	+$64	ended
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	No	50	35¢	81.5¢	$41	+$23	+$15	3mo
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	Yes	182	60.7¢	18.5¢	$34	−$77	−$10	3mo
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	1,146	9¢	2.8¢	$32	−$72	+$190	3mo
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	Yes	30	31¢	78.5¢	$24	+$14	$0	3mo
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?	Yes	170	49¢	13.8¢	$23	−$60	−$29	3mo
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	57	76.7¢	38.7¢	$22	−$22	+$50	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	Yes	100	35¢	21.5¢	$22	−$14	$0	3mo
Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	Yes	30	54¢	65.5¢	$20	+$3.45	$0	18d 0h
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?	Yes	20	46¢	90.6¢	$18	+$8.92	$0	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	Yes	200	19¢	8.1¢	$16	−$22	$0	3mo
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	100	27.4¢	15.5¢	$16	−$12	+$30	21d 0h
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	25	0¢	61.8¢	$15	+$15	$0	3mo
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	No	61	68¢	21.5¢	$13	−$28	$0	3mo
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	77	72.6¢	11.5¢	$8.84	−$47	$0	ended
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	1,832	10.5¢	0.4¢	$7.33	−$184	−$262	3mo
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?	No	75	53.9¢	9.4¢	$7.05	−$33	$0	3mo
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?	Yes	300	9¢	1.9¢	$5.70	−$21	$0	3mo
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	220	32.3¢	2.1¢	$4.51	−$67	$0	ended
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	251	0.9¢	1.5¢	$3.77	+$1.46	$0	5d 0h
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	11	55.5¢	29.5¢	$3.32	−$2.93	+$49	21d 0h
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	No	100	1¢	2.8¢	$2.75	+$1.75	$0	ended
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	326	48.8¢	0.8¢	$2.61	−$156	−$46	ended
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	No	20	36¢	12¢	$2.40	−$4.80	$0	ended
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?	Yes	30	24¢	7¢	$2.10	−$5.10	$0	35d 0h
Will Tião Bocalom win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	885	0.1¢	0.2¢	$1.77	+$0.89	$0	ended
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	3	51¢	59.5¢	$1.69	+$0.24	+$247	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	Yes	10	26¢	6.9¢	$0.69	−$1.91	−$0.20	3mo
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?	Yes	3	24¢	13¢	$0.42	−$0.35	+$149	3mo
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	No	32	56.9¢	1¢	$0.32	−$18	−$58	ended
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	93	0.7¢	0.3¢	$0.23	−$0.38	+$1.43	ended
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	2,701	22.9¢	0¢	$0	−$620	−$17	ended
Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	1,917	13.9¢	0¢	$0	−$267	−$6.01	ended
Will Plinio Valério win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	1,852	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.56	ended
Will Wilson Lima win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	1,769	4.1¢	0¢	$0	−$72	−$2.74	ended
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	1,685	18.1¢	0¢	$0	−$305	−$9.80	ended
Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	1,603	23.8¢	0¢	$0	−$382	+$21	ended
Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	1,260	18.9¢	0¢	$0	−$239	−$7.66	ended
Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	1,256	7.1¢	0¢	$0	−$89	−$2.13	ended
Will Delegado André David win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	Yes	1,253	10¢	0¢	$0	−$126	−$4.40	ended
Will Zequinha Marinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	1,222	24.9¢	0¢	$0	−$304	−$7.11	ended
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	1,219	14.7¢	0¢	$0	−$179	−$4.69	ended
Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	Yes	1,139	31.8¢	0¢	$0	−$362	+$88	ended
Will João Roma win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	1,131	3.5¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$0.92	ended
Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	1,125	31.2¢	0¢	$0	−$351	−$7.50	ended
Will Vander Loubet win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	Yes	1,017	24.6¢	0¢	$0	−$250	+$178	ended
Will Jaques Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	987	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Angelo Coronel win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	984	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.19	ended
Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	973	13.4¢	0¢	$0	−$130	−$4.51	ended
Will Ciro Nogueira win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?	Yes	971	36.9¢	0¢	$0	−$358	+$57	ended
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	879	51.1¢	0¢	$0	−$449	+$106	ended
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	Yes	767	28.5¢	0¢	$0	−$218	+$118	ended
Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	738	23.9¢	0¢	$0	−$176	+$45	ended
Will Gleisi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	607	13.9¢	0¢	$0	−$84	−$6.13	ended
Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?	Yes	607	27.2¢	0¢	$0	−$165	+$137	ended
Will Lucas Barreto win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	593	3.6¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.80	ended
Will Décio Lima win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	Yes	586	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$4.99	−$0.20	ended
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	583	24.6¢	0¢	$0	−$144	+$48	ended
Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	576	25.7¢	0¢	$0	−$148	−$4.26	ended
Will Rose de Freitas win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	506	13.8¢	0¢	$0	−$70	+$92	ended
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	No	471	25.3¢	0¢	$0	−$119	−$3.45	ended
Will Helena da Asatur win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	463	24¢	0¢	$0	−$111	−$3.27	ended
Will Arthur Lira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	Yes	432	18.2¢	0¢	$0	−$79	−$2.56	ended
Will Chico Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	430	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$7.66	−$0.19	ended
Will Tiago Junqueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?	Yes	416	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$3.56	−$0.14	ended
Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	412	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$1.56	ended
Will Rui Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	362	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Davi Davino Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	Yes	360	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$0.63	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
43m ago	SELL No	Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	56¢	180	$101	49%	66
54m ago	BUY Yes	Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?	37¢	40	$15	49%	66
56m ago	BUY Yes	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	79.3¢	1,000	$793	49%	66
1h ago	BUY Yes	Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?	33¢	245	$81	49%	66
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	32.2¢	673	$217	49%	66
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	32.6¢	487	$158	49%	66
1h ago	BUY No	Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	31.7¢	456	$145	49%	66
1h ago	BUY No	Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?	0.9¢	251	$2.30	49%	66
5h ago	SELL Yes	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6.4¢	949	$61	49%	66
7h ago	BUY Yes	Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?	79.1¢	1,202	$951	49%	66
7h ago	BUY Yes	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	36.1¢	500	$181	49%	66
8h ago	SELL Yes	Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?	23¢	100	$23	49%	66
10h ago	BUY Yes	Will BNY (BNY) beat quarterly earnings?	85.3¢	1,902	$1,623	49%	66
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	82.2¢	167	$138	49%	66
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	32¢	1,256	$402	49%	66
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	12.2¢	677	$83	49%	66
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	80.6¢	69	$56	49%	66
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	0.5¢	4,706	$25	49%	66
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	2.1¢	3,540	$76	49%	66
3d ago	BUY No	Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	91.4¢	168	$153	49%	66