PnL all-time+$7,554vol $910k
PnL 30d−$3,847gains $15.6k · losses $8,789
PnL 7d−$345win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate76.0%adj 64.4% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$36.4kcash n/a
Positions6 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 14d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,128below peak −$12.8kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 76.0% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d52
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Noclosed+$4,054US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · Yesclosed+$3,549Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Noclosed+$3,528Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yesclosed+$2,013Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Noclosed+$1,711
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesclosed−$8,581Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1,800US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Noopen−$501Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? · Yesopen−$487Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yesclosed−$208
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 43.7k | 80.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $35.6k | +$301 | +$908 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 2,512 | 43.6¢ | 24.2¢ | $608 | −$487 | $0 | |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | Yes | 144 | 75.4¢ | 77¢ | $111 | +$2.29 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 20 | 45.7¢ | 23.5¢ | $4.78 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,000 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,800 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 2,220 | 22.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$501 | $0 |
Recent trades
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