PnL all-time+$8,628vol $10.9M
PnL 30d+$405gains $311 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$131win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate73.3%adj 72.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$28.7kcash n/a
Positions6 / 360open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,122below peak −$13.8kOct 13
SharpScore inputs
56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 73.3% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? · Yesclosed+$70.4kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$39.8kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? · Yesclosed+$21.5kUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Noclosed+$16.3kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$12.4k
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 34.4k | 99.4¢ | 99.5¢ | $34.3k | +$17 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 4,561 | 95.4¢ | 97.1¢ | $4,426 | +$75 | +$0.20 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 1,947 | 98¢ | 98.3¢ | $1,914 | +$5.84 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 250 | 92¢ | 96.8¢ | $242 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 50 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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