PnL all-time+$371vol $33.8k
PnL 30d−$28gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$22win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 57.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$443cash n/a
Positions29 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$66below peak −$1,014Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$486US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$426Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yesclosed+$350US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? · Yesclosed+$257Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yesopen+$98
Worst markets
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yesopen−$200Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$100Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$100US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yesopen−$100Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? · Yesopen−$100
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 135 | 37¢ | 100¢ | $135 | +$85 | $0 | |
| Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | 123 | 20.4¢ | 100¢ | $123 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 228 | 21.9¢ | 22.2¢ | $51 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 556 | 18¢ | 4.7¢ | $26 | −$74 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,000 | 2.5¢ | 1.3¢ | $25 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 20¢ | 4.5¢ | $23 | −$78 | $0 | |
| Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? | Yes | 18 | 54.5¢ | 100¢ | $18 | +$8.35 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 151 | 16.6¢ | 9.2¢ | $14 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | Yes | 645 | 15.5¢ | 2.1¢ | $14 | −$86 | $0 | |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | Yes | 290 | 8.6¢ | 4.5¢ | $13 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 185 | 27¢ | 0.8¢ | $1.39 | −$49 | $0 |
Recent trades
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