sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

MrMelonHead

0x9f6…3a50
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,241vol $2.76M
PnL 30d+$2,570gains $11.7k · losses $12.9k
PnL 7d−$377win rate 7d 69.2%
Win rate66.3%adj 65.6% · 30d 61.7%
Open value$18.1kcash n/a
Positions56 / 2,366open / all-time
Max drawdown−98.9%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,563below peak −$14.2kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 66.3% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Noclosed+$1,867Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Noclosed+$1,587Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yesclosed+$1,015UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Song Yadongclosed+$840Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · Noclosed+$800

Worst markets

Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Noclosed−$2,689Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · Noclosed−$1,367Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yesclosed−$1,140Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$724Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · Noclosed−$704

Open positions · 56

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No1,70055.6¢85¢$1,445+$500+$184
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes1,74668.5¢75.5¢$1,318+$122$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1,58259.6¢78.5¢$1,242+$299+$5.70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?No1,90027.6¢41.5¢$788+$264+$56
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No1,33738¢57.5¢$769+$261$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Yes1,15067.8¢61.5¢$707−$73−$6.59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,13261.8¢61.5¢$696−$3.70$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No79175.8¢86.5¢$684+$84$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No67184.2¢95.5¢$640+$75$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes49680.6¢93.5¢$464+$64+$51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?No62960.4¢72¢$453+$73$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No77628¢55.5¢$430+$213+$83
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No48365.2¢85.5¢$413+$98$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No89233.6¢45.5¢$406+$106$0
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No48470.2¢82.5¢$399+$59$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes1,15042.2¢34¢$391−$94−$28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No62263.2¢61¢$380−$13$0
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?No35380¢99.4¢$350+$68+$4.12
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?No36781.7¢93.5¢$343+$43$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes40183¢85.5¢$343+$10$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?No40474.2¢79.5¢$321+$21$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?No45266.3¢70.5¢$319+$19$0
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?No36676.5¢83.5¢$306+$26$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No35852.4¢84.5¢$303+$115$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes51758¢57¢$295−$5.17$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No42970¢60.5¢$259−$41$0
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?No29371.6¢82.7¢$242+$32$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No31872.3¢74.5¢$237+$6.98$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No30964.6¢72.5¢$224+$24$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?No22981.5¢88.5¢$203+$16+$29
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?No23087¢87.5¢$201+$1.15$0
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?No26376¢75.5¢$199−$1.32$0
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No24073.7¢81.5¢$196+$19$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No32362¢60.5¢$195−$4.74$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No19672¢85.5¢$167+$26+$155
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No37054¢41.5¢$154−$46$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes16094¢95.9¢$153+$2.95$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No36727.2¢34¢$125+$25$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes33829.6¢34.5¢$116+$16$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No13275.9¢85.5¢$113+$13$0
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?No16660.1¢67.5¢$112+$12$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?No11289¢97.5¢$110+$9.55$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes17956¢59.5¢$106+$6.25$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes13972¢76.5¢$106+$6.25$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?No10694¢99.3¢$106+$5.64$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes15963¢63.5¢$101+$0.79$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Yes16560.6¢55.5¢$92−$8.45$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Yes7,5991.4¢1.1¢$80−$25$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes50021.2¢13.5¢$68−$39−$11
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes1,4519¢3.7¢$53−$77$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No1,9266.5¢2.1¢$39−$86$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Yes40010.8¢9¢$36−$7.10−$1.59
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes52830.1¢6.5¢$34−$125−$41
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Yes36718¢8.5¢$31−$35$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Yes4114.9¢5.1¢$21+$1.19$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?No52810.8¢0¢$0−$57−$2.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?75¢50$3866%53
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?18¢39$7.0066%53
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?49.6¢100$5066%53
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?37.6¢50$1966%53
BUY YesMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?18¢367$6666%53
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?76¢26$2066%53
SELL NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?86¢100$8666%53
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?63.4¢308$19566%53
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?73¢137$10066%53
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢484$30066%53
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?10.2¢489$5066%53
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?71.9¢100$7266%53
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?86.6¢200$17366%53
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?46¢100$4666%53
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?9¢64$5.7666%53
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?37¢69$2666%53
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?22¢72$1666%53
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?67¢78$5266%53
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?85¢35$3066%53
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95¢32$3066%53