PnL all-time−$409vol $229k
PnL 30d−$739gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$717win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 64.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$22.3kcash n/a
Positions4 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 10mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,540below peak −$11.2kOct 12
SharpScore inputs
14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? · Yesclosed+$4,182Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? · Yesclosed+$2,889Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$2,114Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Noclosed+$400Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Noclosed+$180
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.0k | 59¢ | 48.4¢ | $19.4k | −$4,220 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3,000 | 95.8¢ | 98.8¢ | $2,963 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16? | No | 10,000 | 97¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,700 | $0 | |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 3,000 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$840 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s