PnL all-time−$1,370vol $36.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate15.7%adj 17.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$129cash n/a
Positions4 / 347open / all-time
Max drawdown−93.7%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,290below peak −$1,207Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 15.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity6
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? · Yesopen+$106Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5? · Yesclosed+$79Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 1? · Yesclosed+$59Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 6? · Yesclosed+$51Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5? · Yesclosed+$49
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 1? · Noclosed−$86Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Upclosed−$79Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 29? · Noclosed−$69Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Upclosed−$68P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$61
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? | Yes | 129 | 18.2¢ | 100¢ | $129 | +$106 | $0 | |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30? | Yes | 518 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? | Yes | 166 | 31.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? | Yes | 112 | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | $0 |
Recent trades
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