PnL all-time−$414vol $4,900
PnL 30d+$15gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.15win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.7%adj 56.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$175cash n/a
Positions9 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.9%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$400below peak −$391Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.7% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | 106 | 47¢ | 100¢ | $106 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 115 | 47.9¢ | 59.5¢ | $68 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Yes | 367 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | 234 | 21.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | Yes | 229 | 21.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit Russia before July? | Yes | 125 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31? | Yes | 89 | 44.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July? | Yes | 71 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 13 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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