sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,942

degenblobs

0xa09…99a7
WR 70+WR 60+<30d oldPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,112vol $40.1k
PnL 30d+$1,690gains $2,928 · losses $197
PnL 7d+$179win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 59.4% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$14.1kcash n/a
Positions14 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.5%of equity peak
Account age29dlast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,181below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,075Ravens vs. Falcons · Ravensclosed+$743Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$348Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$342Broncos vs. Chiefs · Broncosclosed+$249

Worst markets

Spread: Rams (-3.5) · Ramsopen−$487Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yesclosed−$140Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Miami Marlinsopen−$122Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$73No one announced as next James Bond? · Noclosed−$39

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes9,00090.8¢90.5¢$8,145−$25$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?No98882.7¢95.7¢$946+$128−$3.86
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,00092¢90.5¢$905−$15$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1,00092¢90.5¢$905−$15$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00080.8¢73.5¢$735−$73$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,00070¢68.5¢$685−$15$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No80086¢85.5¢$684−$4.00$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes80054.8¢53.7¢$430−$9.19$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No50059¢63.5¢$318+$23$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes31459¢59.5¢$187+$1.57$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No60031.7¢27.5¢$165−$25$0
Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams1,00048¢0¢$0−$480−$7.49
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMiami Marlins20061.2¢0¢$0−$122$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp2421¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.28

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢1,000$91075%38
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢7,000$6,37075%38
BUY RamsSpread: Rams (-3.5)48¢1,000$48075%38
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?52.7¢480$25375%38
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?86¢800$68875%38
BUY RavensRavens vs. Falcons31¢1,087$33775%38
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢400$33275%38
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?58¢320$18675%38
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢1,000$92075%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET21¢24$5.0075%38
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?82¢1,000$82075%38
SELL NoWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?60¢185$11175%38
SELL NoNo one announced as next James Bond?74.1¢515$38275%38
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?59¢10$5.9075%38
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?31¢200$6275%38
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?34¢400$13675%38
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢500$46075%38
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?81¢300$24375%38
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?81¢300$24375%38
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?81¢600$48675%38