sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,133

JeremyJ

0xa09…d81f
1y+CulturePoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,569vol $531k
PnL 30d−$124gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$17win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.0%adj 54.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$25.0kcash n/a
Positions139 / 310open / all-time
Max drawdown−94.1%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 9mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,088below peak −$190Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 55.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity6

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes8,9996¢100¢$8,999+$8,459$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No4,15182.2¢96.2¢$3,991+$577$0
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes3,60049.6¢100¢$3,600+$1,816$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,97229.4¢95.5¢$1,884+$1,303$0
Deel IPO before 2027?No1,70667¢99.6¢$1,699+$555$0
Ramp IPO before 2027?No64575.5¢97.8¢$630+$144$0
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No56272.3¢97.6¢$548+$142$0
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No51069.7¢95.8¢$489+$133$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1,20461.3¢39.5¢$475−$262$0
Stripe IPO before 2027?No42652.9¢97¢$413+$188$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,5008.5¢14.8¢$369+$156$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?No26880.1¢96.3¢$258+$43$0
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No25167.7¢97.9¢$246+$76$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?No22967.8¢97.6¢$223+$68$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No20481.1¢94.6¢$193+$28$0
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No18479.4¢97.2¢$179+$33$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes1573¢100¢$157+$152$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0005¢6.4¢$127+$27$0
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No12478.3¢97.4¢$121+$24$0
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes1,10033¢10.5¢$116−$248$0
Brex IPO before 2027?No11158.1¢99.2¢$110+$46$0
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No6589.1¢98.6¢$64+$6.11$0
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No5058.9¢98.1¢$49+$20$0
Anthropic acquired before 2027?No4080.5¢97.2¢$39+$6.66$0
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes8,62329.6¢0.1¢$4.31−$2,545$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes14.5k1.5¢0¢$0−$222$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes10.8k2.9¢0¢$0−$310$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes7,20043.1¢0¢$0−$3,102$0
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes6,9858.2¢0¢$0−$575$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?Yes5,0005¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes4,8971.3¢0¢$0−$63−$238
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes4,2233.2¢0¢$0−$135$0
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $3.0 million and $3.25 million by December 16?Yes3,9005.3¢0¢$0−$207$0
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes3,5002¢0¢$0−$70$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Yes3,2982.5¢0¢$0−$82$0
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes3,1980.7¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $3.25 million and $3.5 million by December 16?Yes3,0264.1¢0¢$0−$123$0
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Yes2,9821.1¢0¢$0−$33+$48
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?Yes2,7505.1¢0¢$0−$139$0
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes2,3332.5¢0¢$0−$58−$4.86
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?Paul2,25815.9¢0¢$0−$359−$8.42
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?Yes2,1924¢0¢$0−$88$0
Lakers vs. CelticsLakers2,1821.9¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will John Nitti be the next CEO of X?Yes2,1292.9¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes2,0172.6¢0¢$0−$51$0
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?Yes1,7971.7¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes1,63939.5¢0¢$0−$647$0
Discord IPO in 2025?Yes1,6337.4¢0¢$0−$121$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes1,48431¢0¢$0−$460$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes1,4025¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Cuzz (Moon Woo-chan) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?Yes1,3965.7¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will deokdam (Seo Dae-gil) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?Yes1,3832.9¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes1,33941.9¢0¢$0−$561$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?Yes1,3175.3¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes1,19921.5¢0¢$0−$258$0
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?Yes1,0831.5¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?Yes1,0754¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Keith Coleman be the next CEO of X?Yes1,0452.5¢0¢$0−$26$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes1,03318.7¢0¢$0−$193$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes1,02623¢0¢$0−$236$0
Will Mahmoud Reza Banki be the next CEO of X?Yes1,0055.5¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?Yes1,00010¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes98910¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes9591.8¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?Yes95710.8¢0¢$0−$103$0
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?Yes89510¢0¢$0−$90$0
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes8818.3¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No87810.1¢0¢$0−$89$0
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Yes8590.9¢0¢$0−$7.99$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes8572.2¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes8207¢0¢$0−$57$0
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes8129¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will "F1" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?Yes7639.3¢0¢$0−$71$0
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?Yes7556.7¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes7007.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Yes70011¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Yes70029¢0¢$0−$203$0
Will "China" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No6861¢0¢$0−$6.86$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?Yes6801.5¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?No67023.7¢0¢$0−$158$0
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Yes66337.5¢0¢$0−$249−$272
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.75 million and $3.0 million by December 16?Yes65019.8¢0¢$0−$129$0
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes6245.6¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes6165.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?Yes6107¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes60036.6¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will "Christmas Party" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No6001¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes5736.3¢0¢$0−$36+$19
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?Yes55019.2¢0¢$0−$106$0
Will Bryan Johnson say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" while tripping balls?No52010.5¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will "Censorship" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No5111¢0¢$0−$5.11$0
Will "F1" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?Yes50015¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will "Valuation" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes50041¢0¢$0−$205$0
Will "Nvidia" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No5003¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will "Interest Rate" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No50016¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will "Intellectually Honest" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes50012¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?No49950.4¢0¢$0−$252−$1.49
Hornets vs. RaptorsRaptors47436¢0¢$0−$171$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?Yes4502.1¢0¢$0−$9.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoDeel IPO before 2027?74¢180$13355%38
BUY NoDeel IPO before 2027?70¢537$37655%38
BUY NoDeel IPO before 2027?64.3¢851$54855%38
SELL NoOKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?98.7¢163$16055%38
BUY YesIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?52¢777$40455%38
BUY YesIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?31¢1,484$46055%38
BUY YesWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?36.6¢600$22055%38
BUY YesWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?21.5¢1,199$25855%38
BUY NoWill Alperen Şengün be a 2026 NBA All-Star?2¢50$1.0055%38
BUY YesWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?24.1¢174$4255%38
BUY YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?37.4¢253$9555%38
BUY YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?37.6¢410$15455%38
BUY NoRippling IPO before 2027?81.7¢191$15655%38
BUY YesWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?31.9¢593$18955%38
BUY YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?3.6¢386$1455%38
BUY YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?5.3¢2,364$12555%38
BUY YesWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?70.2¢137$9655%38
SELL YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?1.1¢2,040$2255%38
SELL NoWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?39.7¢842$33455%38
SELL YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?38.4¢2,602$99955%38