sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,098

kukubaja

0xa0c…5b9a
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$53.1kvol $7.05M
PnL 30d+$2,152gains $16.2k · losses $16.7k
PnL 7d+$568win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.2%adj 79.0% · 30d 91.4%
Open value$43.1kcash n/a
Positions31 / 851open / all-time
Max drawdown−49.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$60.8kbelow peak −$16.2kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 80.2% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$28.4kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$18.2kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$16.7kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$12.5kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$9,307

Worst markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$32.9kFrance vs. England: O/U 8.5 · Underclosed−$18.8kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$15.4kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$9,592Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$9,495

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes17.0k69.6¢80.5¢$13.7k+$1,855+$480
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No16.0k83.6¢80.5¢$12.9k−$496+$40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes23.0k41¢19.5¢$4,485−$4,949+$316
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No2,32993.8¢96.8¢$2,253+$69$0
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?Yes1,79669.6¢100¢$1,795+$544$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No1,70096.1¢99¢$1,682+$49−$1.85
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No1,34671¢89.5¢$1,205+$249$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes1,14176.1¢92.5¢$1,055+$187+$84
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No1,00099.9¢100¢$1,000+$0.50$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes1,20063.2¢50.5¢$606−$153$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No53982.2¢95.9¢$517+$74$0
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 6-12?No42296.2¢100¢$422+$16$0
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Yes21282¢92.5¢$196+$22$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes20095.3¢96.4¢$193+$2.10$0
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes20084¢89.5¢$179+$11$0
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 6-12?No16797.9¢100¢$167+$3.41$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No20071.6¢83¢$166+$23$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes41741.3¢37.4¢$156−$16−$2.70
Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?No11592¢93¢$107+$1.15$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No10091¢91.5¢$91+$0.50$0
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No10073¢77.5¢$78+$4.50$0
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes2,10010.5¢3.6¢$75−$146−$365
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes23829.4¢26.9¢$64−$5.94$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes5004.9¢5.9¢$30+$5.25+$299
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?No20014.5¢12¢$24−$5.00$0
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes10022¢22.5¢$23+$0.50$0
Will STRC hit $100 by June 30?Yes4,1640.5¢0¢$0−$21+$8.60
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes1,0003.1¢0¢$0−$31−$1.20
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes9001.8¢0¢$0−$16−$0.39
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?No3034.1¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No25043.2¢0¢$0−$108$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?95.9¢61$5980%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?96.8¢206$19980%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?92¢115$10680%74Sharp
BUY YesWill STRC hit $100 by December 31?90¢600$54080%74Sharp
BUY YesWill STRC hit $100 by December 31?88¢200$17680%74Sharp
BUY YesWill STRC hit $100 by November 30?82¢212$17480%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 6-12?99¢39$3980%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 6-12?97.6¢128$12580%74Sharp
BUY NoMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 6-12?96.2¢422$40680%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?95.6¢454$43480%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?54.7¢197$10880%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?47¢48$2380%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?59.1¢95$5680%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?70¢7$5.0680%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?35¢2,000$70080%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?97.9¢1,000$97980%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?95.7¢30$2980%74Sharp
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?98.5¢133$13180%74Sharp
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?98.5¢175$17280%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.2¢7$7.2580%74Sharp