PnL all-time−$776vol $20.2k
PnL 30d−$545gains $554 · losses $1,322
PnL 7d−$589win rate 7d 26.9%
Win rate41.5%adj 44.3% · 30d 41.5%
Open value$1,056cash n/a
Positions3 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−73.2%of equity peak
Account age17dlast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$536below peak −$713Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 41.5% · shrunk toward 50%11
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity27
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$152Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$56Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Noclosed+$46Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$41
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Noclosed−$220Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Noclosed−$200Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed−$142Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$118Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$113
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | No | 1,037 | 96.5¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,003 | +$2.84 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | Yes | 64 | 62.4¢ | 83.1¢ | $53 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 203 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$4.39 |
Recent trades
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