PnL all-time+$22.3kvol $643k
PnL 30d−$1,343gains $2,033 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,547win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate92.2%adj 80.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$21.5kcash n/a
Positions11 / 62open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.5%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$19.1kbelow peak −$7,867Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 92.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$5,012US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,743Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$2,362US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,025Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$1,645
Worst markets
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yesopen−$2,782US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · Noopen−$1,883US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,549US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Noclosed−$1,407Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? · Yesclosed−$1,099
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 99.0k | 13.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $10.4k | −$2,782 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | No | 7,046 | 93.1¢ | 98.6¢ | $6,943 | +$382 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 3,320 | 87.3¢ | 87.3¢ | $2,897 | −$1.29 | $0 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | No | 531 | 83.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $486 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | No | 300 | 93.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $288 | +$8.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 300 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $263 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 2,000 | 27.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $110 | −$440 | $0 | |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes | 3,954 | 13.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $99 | −$449 | $0 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 2,400 | 72.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,742 | −$141 | |
| Germany leading at halftime? | Yes | 1,200 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$456 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$880 | $0 |
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