sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,246

polymarketbetter

0xa14…3fcc
WhaleWR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$92.3kvol $4.49M
PnL 30d+$2,442gains $0 · losses $12.0k
PnL 7d−$186win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.6%adj 59.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$17.2kcash n/a
Positions15 / 203open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.1%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 14d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$89.4kbelow peak −$21.5kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.6% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d52
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity75

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes20.3k52¢63.5¢$12.9k+$2,340$0
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes53.1k6.9¢4.5¢$2,391−$1,269−$1,823
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,65659.4¢71.5¢$1,899+$322+$172
Trump out as President by June 30?Yes48.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$232−$6.93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No7,67024.8¢0¢$0−$1,900$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No4,68249.1¢0¢$0−$2,298$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No61565¢0¢$0−$400$0
UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovKopylov 57769.3¢0¢$0−$400$0
UEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance) France 47663¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?Yes47642¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?Yes29767.4¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will England vs. India end in a draw?No24183¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes22344.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
XRP Up or Down - July 22, 7PM ETDown19651¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?No11435¢0¢$0−$40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesTrump out as President before 2027?5¢20.0k$1,00061%39
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?71¢2,765$1,96361%39
SELL YesTrump out as President before 2027?5.1¢33.1k$1,69661%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?52¢6,883$3,57961%39
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?58¢3,000$1,73961%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?52¢7,692$4,00061%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?59¢3,390$2,00061%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?60¢1,667$1,00061%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?52¢5,769$3,00061%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?59.9¢1,668$1,00061%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?58.9¢1,697$1,00061%39
SELL YesWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?99.9¢14.2k$14.2k61%39Whale
BUY YesTrump out as President before 2027?7¢22.5k$1,57661%39
SELL YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?2.7¢56.7k$1,55761%39
BUY YesWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?73.5¢14.2k$10.4k61%39Whale
SELL YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15¢35$5.1961%39
SELL YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16¢52.4k$8,36761%39
SELL YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?14.2¢6,101$86861%39
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53¢2,018$1,07061%39
SELL YesIran invades Kuwait by August 31?3.2¢33.3k$1,07161%39