sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Crabsoup92

0xa15…cf02
SportCultureOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,628vol $202k
PnL 30d+$3,024gains $4,090 · losses $3,781
PnL 7d+$861win rate 7d 48.8%
Win rate42.1%adj 42.5% · 30d 37.2%
Open value$7,596cash n/a
Positions26 / 372open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.6%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,097below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 42.1% · shrunk toward 50%6
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes4,83670.6¢93¢$4,497+$1,082+$86
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes1,61043.7¢42.5¢$684−$19$0
Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?No55680.2¢97.8¢$543+$98$0
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No51484¢87¢$447+$15+$2.64
Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes20068.2¢97.8¢$196+$59+$0.37
Will Nolo peak at Category 4?Yes19080.9¢97.4¢$185+$31$0
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1,4135.9¢12.7¢$179+$95$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes55036¢22.5¢$124−$74$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Yes32537¢36.5¢$119−$1.62$0
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Yes1,19310.8¢8¢$95−$33$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 3?Yes9073.9¢98.7¢$89+$22$0
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes11567.1¢70¢$81+$3.30$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Yes15034¢47.5¢$71+$20$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Yes38027.6¢12.3¢$47−$58$0
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes13841¢29¢$40−$17$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?No4033.5¢97.4¢$39+$26$0
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31?Yes10050¢37¢$37−$13$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes5006¢6.5¢$33+$2.50$0
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Yes4077¢79.5¢$32+$1.00$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes16021.4¢16.5¢$26−$7.80$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?No7924.5¢23.5¢$19−$0.83$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Yes30012¢5¢$15−$21$0
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?Yes13926.5¢0.2¢$0.28−$37+$0.62
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?Yes31312.8¢0.1¢$0.16−$40$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?Yes15512.1¢0.1¢$0.08−$19$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?Yes2011¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.19$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?0.1¢100$0.1142%53
SELL NoWill annual inflation be 3.7% in September?58¢340$19742%53
BUY YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?67.1¢115$7742%53
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?21¢363$7642%53
SELL YesWill "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?50.1¢195$9842%53
SELL YesWill Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?0.3¢143$0.4642%53
BUY NoWill "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?35¢10$3.5042%53
BUY YesWill "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?36¢63$2342%53
BUY YesWill Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?80¢50$4042%53
BUY YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?36¢41$1542%53
BUY YesWill Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?75¢50$3842%53
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?0.8¢200$1.5342%53
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?1.7¢384$6.5242%53
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?9.8¢213$2142%53
BUY YesWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?34¢150$5142%53
BUY YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?49¢67$3342%53
BUY YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?28.2¢130$3742%53
BUY NoWill Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?80.5¢168$13642%53
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?24¢60$1442%53
SELL NoWill Isaias peak at Category 3?36¢109$3942%53