| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 472 | 60.4¢ | 62¢ | $293 | +$7.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | No | 300 | 84.9¢ | 77.1¢ | $231 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 201 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $176 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 410 | 42¢ | 41.5¢ | $170 | −$2.05 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa? | Yes | 537 | 11.1¢ | 29.5¢ | $158 | +$99 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 471 | 33.1¢ | 31.7¢ | $149 | −$6.69 | $0 | |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 125 | 87¢ | 86.5¢ | $108 | −$0.63 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Inter Miami CF be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? | No | 125 | 85.4¢ | 83¢ | $104 | −$2.97 | −$0.58 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | 98.5¢ | $99 | −$1.31 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 100 | 99.4¢ | 96.8¢ | $97 | −$2.63 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | No | 100 | 87¢ | 89.5¢ | $90 | +$2.51 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 100 | 82¢ | 83¢ | $83 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 80 | 99.3¢ | 95¢ | $76 | −$3.52 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 231 | 21.7¢ | 32.5¢ | $75 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | Yes | 489 | 11.1¢ | 15¢ | $73 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will OnRe launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 120 | 59.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $73 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | No | 102 | 58¢ | 66.5¢ | $68 | +$8.74 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 80 | 84.5¢ | 78.1¢ | $62 | −$5.14 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 231 | 26¢ | 26.5¢ | $61 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Parker Washington have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 90 | 43.6¢ | 59¢ | $53 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 12, 2026? | No | 50 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $50 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 15, 2026? | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $50 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 16, 2026? | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $50 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 50 | 99¢ | 98.7¢ | $49 | −$0.17 | −$0.23 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6% or more? | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | 98.1¢ | $49 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026? | No | 50 | 89.3¢ | 98¢ | $49 | +$4.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 12% or more? | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $49 | −$0.88 | −$0.16 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 35% or more? | No | 50 | 97¢ | 95.9¢ | $48 | −$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 50 | 97.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $48 | −$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 9%-12%? | No | 50 | 99.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $48 | −$2.18 | −$0.46 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 50 | 97.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $47 | −$1.92 | $0 | |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 13, 2026? | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | 92.8¢ | $47 | −$3.38 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? | Yes | 50 | 94¢ | 92.5¢ | $46 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 0%-5%? | No | 50 | 97.8¢ | 91.6¢ | $46 | −$3.08 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 50 | 93¢ | 90.5¢ | $45 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 50 | 88¢ | 88.5¢ | $44 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 23, 2026? | No | 44 | 99.8¢ | 99.6¢ | $44 | −$0.10 | −$0.44 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026? | No | 44 | 99.5¢ | 99.4¢ | $44 | −$0.04 | −$0.26 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026? | No | 44 | 83.7¢ | 99¢ | $43 | +$6.69 | +$7.74 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 20, 2026? | No | 44 | 99.3¢ | 98.5¢ | $43 | −$0.37 | −$0.28 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026? | No | 44 | 85.6¢ | 97.7¢ | $43 | +$5.28 | +$5.66 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 43¢ | 42.5¢ | $43 | −$0.50 | −$0.59 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 50 | 79.1¢ | 84.7¢ | $42 | +$2.80 | +$0.68 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026? | No | 44 | 97.4¢ | 96.6¢ | $42 | −$0.39 | −$1.43 | |
| Will David Montgomery have 1,024.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 52 | 79.7¢ | 81.5¢ | $42 | +$0.92 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Bayern Munich finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? | No | 56 | 71¢ | 75¢ | $42 | +$2.24 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 50 | 78¢ | 83.5¢ | $42 | +$2.76 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? | No | 44 | 85.5¢ | 94.9¢ | $42 | +$4.09 | +$2.11 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 50 | 81¢ | 81¢ | $41 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 50 | 78¢ | 80.5¢ | $40 | +$1.25 | +$0.34 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026? | No | 39 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $39 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026? | No | 39 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $39 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026? | No | 39 | 99.8¢ | 99.5¢ | $39 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026? | No | 39 | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $39 | −$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026? | No | 39 | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $39 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026? | No | 39 | 98.6¢ | 98.3¢ | $38 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | 94.8¢ | $38 | −$1.87 | $0 | |
| Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 90 | 55¢ | 42¢ | $38 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 21, 2026? | No | 38 | 99.8¢ | 99.1¢ | $38 | −$0.27 | −$0.09 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026? | No | 39 | 96.7¢ | 96.1¢ | $37 | −$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 48¢ | 61.5¢ | $37 | +$8.10 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | Yes | 203 | 12.2¢ | 18¢ | $37 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 6% or more? | No | 40 | 97.9¢ | 88.9¢ | $36 | −$3.59 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 50 | 71.6¢ | 69.7¢ | $35 | −$0.97 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 50 | 68¢ | 68¢ | $34 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 230 | 12.7¢ | 14.6¢ | $34 | +$4.47 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa? | No | 47 | 77¢ | 70.5¢ | $33 | −$3.08 | +$5.65 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 50 | 66¢ | 66.5¢ | $33 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027? | No | 120 | 38.4¢ | 27¢ | $33 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 40 | 75.8¢ | 80¢ | $32 | +$1.66 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 50 | 61¢ | 61.5¢ | $31 | +$0.25 | −$4.48 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 100 | 31¢ | 30.5¢ | $31 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? | Yes | 125 | 24.9¢ | 24.5¢ | $31 | −$0.48 | −$0.23 | |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? | Yes | 114 | 24.3¢ | 25.5¢ | $29 | +$1.32 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine? | Yes | 537 | 11.1¢ | 5¢ | $27 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | Yes | 60 | 47¢ | 44.5¢ | $27 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine? | No | 27 | 94.6¢ | 88¢ | $24 | −$1.78 | −$26 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 38 | 59¢ | 59.5¢ | $23 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 6.5 | 35 | 71¢ | 60¢ | $21 | −$3.86 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 93 | 8.3¢ | 22.5¢ | $21 | +$13 | −$1.59 | |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 231 | 9.3¢ | 9¢ | $21 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | 55¢ | 51.5¢ | $21 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? | No | 30 | 69.2¢ | 68¢ | $20 | −$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 15%-18%? | No | 20 | 96¢ | 95.3¢ | $19 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | 37¢ | 38¢ | $19 | +$0.50 | −$4.04 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | Yes | 50 | 38¢ | 37.5¢ | $19 | −$0.25 | −$0.58 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 20 | 92.4¢ | 92.6¢ | $19 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? | No | 40 | 40.5¢ | 45¢ | $18 | +$1.82 | +$0.05 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 12%-15%? | No | 20 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $18 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | 29¢ | 43.5¢ | $17 | +$5.82 | $0 | |
| Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | 84¢ | 86¢ | $17 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 230 | 20.7¢ | 7.5¢ | $17 | −$30 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Yes | 30 | 52¢ | 57.5¢ | $17 | +$1.65 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 18% or more? | No | 20 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $17 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Bijan Robinson have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | 86¢ | 85¢ | $17 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 20 | 85¢ | 83¢ | $17 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | 94.3¢ | 82.6¢ | $17 | −$2.34 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 26.2¢ | 82.2¢ | $16 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 26¢ | 27.2¢ | $16 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | Yes | 20 | 82¢ | 81.5¢ | $16 | −$0.10 | $0 | |