Traders/Rank #16,448

Shawata18

0xa1b…5e00

Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$9,618vol $382k

PnL 30d−$580gains $1,952 · losses $1,427

PnL 7d−$580win rate 7d 50.0%

Win rate59.9%adj 59.2% · 30d 50.0%

Open value$778cash n/a

Positions159 / 421open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age8molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$7,762below peak −$7,784Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 59.9% · shrunk toward 50%48

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET · Upclosed+$1,043 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Downclosed+$807 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET · Upclosed+$709 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Downclosed+$610 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Upclosed+$563

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET · Downopen−$748 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3PM ET · Downopen−$650 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4PM ET · Downopen−$619 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11AM ET · Upopen−$610 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Upopen−$600

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	16.8k	4.8¢	2.9¢	$488	−$315	$0	2d 10h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	2,000	15¢	14.5¢	$290	−$10	$0	17d 10h
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	Yes	2,323	5.8¢	0¢	$0	−$134	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11AM ET	Up	2,067	29.5¢	0¢	$0	−$610	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	1,991	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$46	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6AM ET	Up	1,807	20.1¢	0¢	$0	−$363	$0	ended
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	1,733	6¢	0¢	$0	−$104	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET	Down	1,669	44.8¢	0¢	$0	−$748	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11AM ET	Up	1,611	37.2¢	0¢	$0	−$599	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3PM ET	Down	1,516	42.9¢	0¢	$0	−$650	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3AM ET	Down	1,429	35.1¢	0¢	$0	−$501	$0	ended
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?	Yes	1,373	26.6¢	0¢	$0	−$365	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	1,267	47.3¢	0¢	$0	−$600	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4PM ET	Down	1,231	50.3¢	0¢	$0	−$619	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	1,081	27.3¢	0¢	$0	−$295	−$15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	1,021	33.8¢	0¢	$0	−$346	−$16	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	1,001	47.6¢	0¢	$0	−$476	−$17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	1,000	21¢	0¢	$0	−$210	−$12	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	992	18.1¢	0¢	$0	−$180	−$103	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6AM ET	Down	986	51.9¢	0¢	$0	−$512	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12PM ET	Up	885	45.2¢	0¢	$0	−$400	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET	Up	884	43¢	0¢	$0	−$380	−$15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8AM ET	Down	877	42.5¢	0¢	$0	−$373	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	871	29.9¢	0¢	$0	−$260	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	868	43.1¢	0¢	$0	−$374	−$15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	853	45.6¢	0¢	$0	−$389	−$15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11AM ET	Down	825	41.1¢	0¢	$0	−$339	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Up	817	40.2¢	0¢	$0	−$328	−$14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2PM ET	Up	769	40.4¢	0¢	$0	−$311	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11PM ET	Down	742	51.2¢	0¢	$0	−$380	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	721	34.5¢	0¢	$0	−$249	−$11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7AM ET	Down	716	48.9¢	0¢	$0	−$350	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12PM ET	Down	709	28.2¢	0¢	$0	−$200	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET	Down	707	28.3¢	0¢	$0	−$200	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	690	36.4¢	0¢	$0	−$251	−$11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	649	57.2¢	0¢	$0	−$371	−$11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	640	48.5¢	0¢	$0	−$310	−$11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	629	41¢	0¢	$0	−$258	−$11	ended
Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	615	33.7¢	0¢	$0	−$207	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	614	59.8¢	0¢	$0	−$367	−$10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3PM ET	Down	600	50¢	0¢	$0	−$300	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8AM ET	Up	597	26.3¢	0¢	$0	−$157	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	590	43¢	0¢	$0	−$254	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	587	51.6¢	0¢	$0	−$303	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	584	51.4¢	0¢	$0	−$300	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2PM ET	Down	581	34.4¢	0¢	$0	−$200	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	580	56.2¢	0¢	$0	−$326	−$9.99	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	555	52.1¢	0¢	$0	−$289	$0	ended
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	550	30.9¢	0¢	$0	−$170	−$3.52	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	534	23.4¢	0¢	$0	−$125	−$6.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET	Down	531	18.8¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	502	48.8¢	0¢	$0	−$245	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5AM ET	Down	500	50.4¢	0¢	$0	−$252	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5AM ET	Down	495	30¢	0¢	$0	−$148	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1PM ET	Down	493	18.9¢	0¢	$0	−$93	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7AM ET	Up	492	38.5¢	0¢	$0	−$189	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9AM ET	Down	485	39.8¢	0¢	$0	−$193	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	456	43.9¢	0¢	$0	−$200	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11AM ET	Up	455	22¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	454	36.5¢	0¢	$0	−$166	−$7.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET	Up	437	29.3¢	0¢	$0	−$128	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ET	Up	430	37¢	0¢	$0	−$159	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	428	41.6¢	0¢	$0	−$178	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9PM ET	Down	426	47¢	0¢	$0	−$200	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Up	423	22.9¢	0¢	$0	−$97	−$5.38	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	418	45.6¢	0¢	$0	−$191	−$7.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	417	47.9¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$7.29	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	417	40¢	0¢	$0	−$167	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	407	44.2¢	0¢	$0	−$180	−$7.02	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	406	49.8¢	0¢	$0	−$202	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	405	38¢	0¢	$0	−$154	−$6.68	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	393	26.4¢	0¢	$0	−$104	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	386	51.1¢	0¢	$0	−$197	−$6.94	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7AM ET	Down	384	26¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	383	45.7¢	0¢	$0	−$175	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	376	53.2¢	0¢	$0	−$200	$0	ended
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)	Brazil	371	21¢	0¢	$0	−$78	−$1.85	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10PM ET	Up	363	35.8¢	0¢	$0	−$130	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8AM ET	Down	363	35¢	0¢	$0	−$127	$0	ended
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	359	51.5¢	0¢	$0	−$185	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	358	51.1¢	0¢	$0	−$183	−$6.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	356	42.1¢	0¢	$0	−$150	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	345	54¢	0¢	$0	−$186	−$6.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	345	50.2¢	0¢	$0	−$173	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5AM ET	Up	343	35¢	0¢	$0	−$120	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8AM ET	Up	337	28.2¢	0¢	$0	−$95	$0	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?	No	333	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8AM ET	Down	333	40.2¢	0¢	$0	−$134	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	328	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3AM ET	Up	322	31.4¢	0¢	$0	−$101	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10AM ET	Up	303	24.8¢	0¢	$0	−$75	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	287	45.3¢	0¢	$0	−$130	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	285	52.6¢	0¢	$0	−$150	−$4.97	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6AM ET	Up	282	39¢	0¢	$0	−$110	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6AM ET	Down	282	29.8¢	0¢	$0	−$84	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	277	36.1¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	276	51.2¢	0¢	$0	−$141	−$4.97	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	270	46.6¢	0¢	$0	−$126	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	253	34¢	0¢	$0	−$86	−$3.98	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	253	51¢	0¢	$0	−$129	−$4.42	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2.8¢	86	$2.40	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	25.7¢	1,027	$264	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	51.7¢	868	$449	60%	35
1d ago	SELL Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	0.5¢	707	$3.70	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	35.8¢	707	$253	60%	35
1d ago	SELL Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	25.8¢	542	$140	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	53.1¢	542	$288	60%	35
1d ago	BUY No	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	15¢	2,000	$300	60%	35
1d ago	SELL Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	91¢	526	$478	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	48.1¢	526	$253	60%	35
1d ago	SELL Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	15.8¢	701	$111	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	64.1¢	701	$449	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Down	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 3PM ET	58.2¢	771	$449	60%	35
1d ago	BUY No	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	4.8¢	14.1k	$680	60%	35
1d ago	SELL Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	74.3¢	706	$525	60%	35
1d ago	SELL Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	85.1¢	1,543	$1,313	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	28.2¢	1,020	$288	60%	35
1d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	36.6¢	1,228	$449	60%	35
2d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	26¢	131	$34	60%	35
2d ago	BUY No	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	4.5¢	2,667	$120	60%	35