PnL all-time+$211kvol $178M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate48.1%adj 48.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions12 / 1,317open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$216kbelow peak −$1,797Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 48.1% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$413kWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$336kWill Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$165kWill Solana reach $150 in October? · Yesclosed+$23.4kWill Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? · Noclosed+$16.3k
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$371kWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$316kWill Israel invade Lebanon in September? · Noclosed−$21.6kWill Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$18.8kWill José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$18.7k
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 9,837 | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$335 | +$48 | |
| Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 5,691 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$199 | +$51 | |
| Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 3,000 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 2,699 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$81 | +$42 | |
| Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 2,545 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 2,125 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | +$14 | |
| Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 1,399 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 1,345 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 499 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Texans win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 263 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director? | Yes | 131 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$69 | $0 | |
| Will the Buccaneers win the NFC South? | No | 25 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 |
Recent trades
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