PnL all-time−$33.3kvol $1.44M
PnL 30d−$6,433gains $1,468 · losses $2,505
PnL 7d−$1,646win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.7%adj 65.5% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$31.8kcash n/a
Positions4 / 104open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 9d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$42.0kbelow peak −$42.0kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.7% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d67
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$5,190US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,400Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$2,361Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,859US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? · Noclosed+$1,813
Worst markets
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · Noclosed−$17.1kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$16.9k2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yesopen−$7,934US government shutdown Saturday? · Noclosed−$7,608Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$5,218
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 110k | 36.9¢ | 28.5¢ | $31.5k | −$9,320 | +$1,386 | |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? | Yes | 395 | 50.7¢ | 47.5¢ | $187 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? | Yes | 1,373 | 11.6¢ | 11.5¢ | $158 | −$0.83 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.5k | 74.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.7k | −$170 |
Recent trades
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