sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,516

0xa26…c159

0xa26…c159
PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$328vol $14.0k
PnL 30d+$0.60gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4.31win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,228cash n/a
Positions24 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−59.8%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 8mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$330below peak −$121Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity40

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesopen+$488Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yesopen+$403Seahawks vs. Patriots · Seahawksopen+$167Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yesopen+$113Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · Yesopen+$29

Worst markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$200Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? · Yesopen−$150US government shutdown Saturday? · Noopen−$135Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yesopen−$110Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesopen−$79

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes1,07362.5¢100¢$1,073+$403$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes88845¢100¢$888+$488$0
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes60688¢100¢$606+$73−$76
Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks52668.2¢100¢$526+$167$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes36183¢90.5¢$327+$27$0
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes26357¢100¢$263+$113$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes76926¢22.2¢$170−$30$0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes10099.4¢100¢$100+$0.60$0
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes7963¢100¢$79+$29$0
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes11851¢50¢$59−$1.18$0
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes10249¢50¢$51+$1.02$0
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes8559¢50¢$42−$7.63$0
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes8248¢50¢$41+$1.65$0
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?Yes287¢100¢$2.00+$0.26−$8.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes1,66612¢0¢$0−$200$0
GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes1,0003¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes68122¢0¢$0−$150$0
US government shutdown Saturday?No52026¢0¢$0−$135$0
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes48318¢0¢$0−$87+$55
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes44224.9¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes25031.7¢0¢$0−$79$0
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes8967¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes8763¢0¢$0−$55$0
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes5011¢0¢$0−$5.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?83¢361$3000%16
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?45¢888$4000%16
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?12¢1,666$2000%16
BUY YesWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?26¢769$2000%16
BUY YesWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?74¢675$4990%16
BUY YesUS government shutdown Saturday?88¢606$5330%16
BUY YesWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?49¢102$500%16
BUY YesWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?31.7¢250$790%16
SELL YesUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?29¢500$1450%16
SELL YesUS government shutdown Saturday?67¢633$4240%16
BUY YesWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?63¢50$320%16
BUY SeahawksSeahawks vs. Patriots69¢85$590%16
BUY YesZama FDV above $500M one day after launch?67¢6$4.290%16
BUY NoUS government shutdown Saturday?26¢370$960%16
BUY YesUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?11¢50$5.500%16
BUY NoUS government shutdown Saturday?26¢150$390%16
BUY YesNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?99.4¢100$990%16
BUY SeahawksSeahawks vs. Patriots68¢441$3000%16
BUY YesUS government shutdown Saturday?79¢633$5000%16