sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,189

caspar1248

0xa27…3369
WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,589vol $4.26M
PnL 30d−$313kgains $16.8k · losses $9,876
PnL 7d−$48.0kwin rate 7d 74.9%
Win rate74.9%adj 73.3% · 30d 74.9%
Open value$6,479cash n/a
Positions1,948 / 11,662open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 24m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$11.9kbelow peak −$20.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 74.9% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesWest Indies5,28724.1¢22.5¢$1,190−$84$0
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-10-08?No1,00079¢100¢$999+$209$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances TiafoeFrances Tiafoe50671¢70.5¢$357−$2.53$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert HurkaczNovak Djokovic55063.3¢64.5¢$355+$6.71$0
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)Christian Leroy Duncan73546.1¢47.5¢$349+$11$0
Exact Score: Antigua GFC 3 - 3 CSD Municipal?No34054.3¢100¢$340+$155$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson BrooksbyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina45368.8¢67.5¢$306−$5.80$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing WuAlexander Zverev34288¢87.5¢$299−$1.71$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas MachacAlexander Bublik29363.2¢63.5¢$186+$0.98$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx33656.1¢51.5¢$173−$15$0
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5Over20786¢83.5¢$173−$5.17$0
Eagles vs. JaguarsEagles71924¢23.5¢$169−$3.59$0
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No17654.1¢75.5¢$133+$38$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev28472¢46.5¢$132−$72$0
Will Pau FC win on 2026-10-09?Yes27747¢46.5¢$129−$1.38$0
Atlanta Dream vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty15057¢56.5¢$85−$0.75$0
Spread: PSV (-2.5)SC Heerenveen14359.5¢58.5¢$84−$1.40$0
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesIndia9079¢77.5¢$70−$1.38$0
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?Yes9474.8¢73.5¢$69−$1.23$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli17664.6¢36¢$63−$50$0
Exact Score: AD Cali 0 - 5 CDP Junior FC?No10051.4¢62.5¢$63+$11$0
Exact Score: Llaneros FC 0 - 5 Independiente Santa Fe?No10051.4¢62.5¢$63+$11$0
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?Yes7575¢73.5¢$55−$1.12$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon NakashimaBrandon Nakashima7361¢60.5¢$44−$0.36$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti5481¢80.5¢$44−$0.27$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?No4098.2¢99.4¢$40+$0.45$0
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?No4091.5¢91¢$36−$0.20$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur FeryKaren Khachanov5368¢67.5¢$36−$0.27$0
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes4185¢84¢$35−$0.41$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub MensikJakub Mensik4374.5¢74.5¢$32−$0.02$0
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Ilias Bulaid5254.9¢57¢$30+$1.12$0
Shelton vs. Altmaier: Match O/U 23.5Under4165¢66¢$27+$0.41$0
Spread: Illinois (-4.5)Michigan State4361¢59.5¢$25−$0.64$0
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Erick Visconde5147.8¢43¢$22−$2.48$0
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs100 Thieves3362.8¢62.5¢$21−$0.09$0
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekElise Mertens9920¢19.5¢$19−$0.49$0
Will Maccabi Netanya FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes3457.1¢55.5¢$19−$0.53$0
Will SK Beveren win on 2026-10-09?Yes3455¢53.5¢$18−$0.51$0
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)largadosypelados1573¢99.6¢$15+$3.94$0
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsPaper Rex2064¢64.5¢$13+$0.10$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes1771¢70.5¢$12−$0.09$0
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Loopy Godínez1767¢68.5¢$11+$0.25$0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs. CF Correcaminos UAT: O/U 2.5Over1017¢100¢$9.99+$8.29$0
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Elche CF1085¢84¢$8.79−$0.10$0
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5Over795¢94.5¢$6.28−$0.03$0
SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: SSC Napoli O/U 0.5Over792¢91.5¢$6.28−$0.03$0
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: Lille OSC O/U 0.5Over791¢90.5¢$6.28−$0.03$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over793¢93.5¢$6.27+$0.03$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes792¢90.5¢$6.27−$0.10$0
Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over792¢91.5¢$6.25−$0.03$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5Over789¢88.5¢$6.24−$0.04$0
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over786¢85.5¢$6.24−$0.04$0
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5Over796¢95.5¢$6.24−$0.03$0
AS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC: AS Monaco FC O/U 0.5Over789¢88¢$6.21−$0.07$0
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over795¢94.5¢$6.21−$0.03$0
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5Over794¢93.5¢$6.21−$0.03$0
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-10?Yes791¢90.5¢$6.21−$0.03$0
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5Over696.8¢96.4¢$6.20−$0.03$0
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5Over789¢87.5¢$6.17−$0.11$0
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?Yes792¢90.5¢$6.14−$0.10$0
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsTeam Falcons949¢42.5¢$3.78−$0.58$0
Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5Over395¢95¢$2.95$0$0
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Under2113¢12.5¢$2.65−$0.11$0
Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Burton Albion FC: O/U 0.5Over395¢94.5¢$2.60−$0.01$0
Minnesota United FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 0.5Over396¢95¢$2.59−$0.03$0
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under245¢43.5¢$1.00−$0.03$0
Indiana vs. NebraskaIndiana174¢73.5¢$0.94−$0.01$0
Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)Parma Calcio 19131782.6¢0.5¢$0.89−$3.73$0
Central Espanol FC vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5Under249¢46.5¢$0.86−$0.05$0
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11?No170¢68.5¢$0.73−$0.02$0
Spread: Browns (-2.5)Jets159¢59.5¢$0.72+$0.01$0
Counter-Strike: mellren vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren9,75450.7¢0¢$0−$4,946−$120
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?No7,87612.2¢0¢$0−$958−$42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No7,3490¢0¢$0$0$0
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes7,1984.2¢0¢$0−$300+$294
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes7,1374.2¢0¢$0−$297+$291
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes7,1374.2¢0¢$0−$297+$291
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes7,1174.2¢0¢$0−$297+$290
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes7,1174.2¢0¢$0−$297+$290
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes7,1074.2¢0¢$0−$296+$290
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego PadresMiami Marlins6,65135¢0¢$0−$2,328−$76
Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Under5,9900.1¢0¢$0−$5.98−$0.30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesPhiladelphia Phillies5,8291.7¢0¢$0−$100−$4.45
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersSan Francisco Giants5,54027¢0¢$0−$1,496−$55
Spread: Commanders (-14.5)Commanders5,3294.2¢0¢$0−$223$0
Spread: HOU (-1.5)HOU5,11946.3¢0¢$0−$2,369−$64
Southern Illinois vs. IllinoisSouthern Illinois4,5772.5¢0¢$0−$116−$5.65
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes4,5324.2¢0¢$0−$189−$0.01
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?No4,2508.8¢0¢$0−$374−$16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?No4,0553¢0¢$0−$123−$4.36
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs EXODIA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsEXODIA3,97613.9¢0¢$0−$553−$23
Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs NamibiaNamibia3,7236¢0¢$0−$224−$11
USC vs. RutgersRutgers3,6537¢0¢$0−$256−$12
Buffalo vs. Penn StateBuffalo3,2111¢0¢$0−$32−$1.59
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)Charles Jourdain3,0320.8¢0¢$0−$23−$0.51
Will Saint-Martin win on 2026-10-06?No3,0109.2¢0¢$0−$278−$13
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)Tai Tuivasa3,0000.1¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stagemegoshort2,90225.1¢0¢$0−$728−$27
Chargers vs. BillsChargers2,89124.1¢0¢$0−$698$0
Puka Nacua: Anytime TouchdownYes2,8260.9¢0¢$0−$25$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10?93¢20$1975%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10?92¢30$2875%55
BUY OverIncheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.563¢22$1475%55
BUY YesWill Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-09?49¢151$7475%55
BUY Florida A&MFlorida A&M vs. Alabama State15¢3$0.4475%55
BUY 100 ThievesValorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs63¢14$8.9975%55
BUY Paper RexValorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs65¢21$1475%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 10?97¢12$1275%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 10?84¢60$5075%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 10?97¢5$4.7375%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?94¢16$1575%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?94¢14$1375%55
BUY Routliffe/SutjiadiChina Open (Doubles): Hsieh/Ostapenko vs Routliffe/Sutjiadi38¢12$4.6175%55
BUY Alexander BublikShanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac64¢40$2675%55
BUY Rebecca SramkovaSuzhou: Aliona Falei vs Rebecca Sramkova68¢146$9975%55
BUY Jakub MensikShanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik75¢104$7875%55
BUY Karen KhachanovShanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery68¢10$6.8275%55
BUY Matteo BerrettiniShanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima48¢33$1675%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11?57¢20$1175%55
BUY NoWill Cale Makar win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?95¢6$5.4375%55