sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

0xa29…2574

0xa29…2574
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,599vol $123k
PnL 30d−$531gains $680 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$23win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 98.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$274cash n/a
Positions151 / 1,496open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,453below peak −$1,486Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11?Yes10090¢100¢$100+$9.95$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes7540.2¢95.6¢$72+$41−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?Yes5597.9¢99.9¢$55+$1.10$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1597.2¢83.6¢$13−$2.05$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes2030¢44¢$8.77+$2.79$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No7212.6¢9.5¢$6.82−$2.21−$0.22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes686¢90.5¢$5.26+$0.26$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes2015¢13¢$2.58−$0.40$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes1435¢16.5¢$2.36−$2.64−$0.10
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3850.7¢0.5¢$1.73−$0.96$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes456¢3.5¢$1.58−$1.13$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes2711¢3.8¢$1.03−$1.95$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes1024.4¢5.5¢$0.55−$1.89−$1.18
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3570.8¢0.2¢$0.54−$2.32$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes1817¢3.1¢$0.54−$2.45+$1.49
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes506¢1¢$0.47−$2.52$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes2425¢1.8¢$0.43−$5.54$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes241¢23.5¢$0.41−$0.30+$0.24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes318¢12.5¢$0.39−$0.17$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes8910¢0.3¢$0.27−$8.64−$4.71
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3850.6¢0.1¢$0.19−$2.12$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3850.6¢0.1¢$0.19−$2.12$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3850.7¢0.1¢$0.19−$2.50$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3570.7¢0.1¢$0.18−$2.32$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3570.7¢0.1¢$0.18−$2.32$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3570.6¢0.1¢$0.18−$1.96$0
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Yes1,1130.3¢0¢$0−$3.73−$0.28
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes6490.3¢0¢$0−$1.95$0
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes4550.5¢0¢$0−$2.27$0
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4550.6¢0¢$0−$2.73$0
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3205.8¢0¢$0−$19−$2.45
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes2846.8¢0¢$0−$19−$0.12
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes2007¢0¢$0−$14−$8.95
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1351.2¢0¢$0−$1.60$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes1302.3¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 13?Yes12687¢0¢$0−$110−$0.71
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes12596.5¢0¢$0−$121$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?Yes12389.6¢0¢$0−$110−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 15?Yes12290.2¢0¢$0−$110−$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 3?Yes12290.2¢0¢$0−$110−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?Yes12191¢0¢$0−$110−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 29?Yes12091.1¢0¢$0−$110−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22?Yes12092¢0¢$0−$110−$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?Yes11893¢0¢$0−$110−$0.39
BitBoy convicted?Yes1111.3¢0¢$0−$1.45$0
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki11094.5¢0¢$0−$104−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 16?Yes11099.7¢0¢$0−$110−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?Yes10979.5¢0¢$0−$86−$0.89
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGrind Back10795¢0¢$0−$101−$0.15
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 4?Up10593¢0¢$0−$97−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 24?Yes10592¢0¢$0−$96−$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?Yes10090¢0¢$0−$90−$0.45
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes10036.6¢0¢$0−$37−$2.89
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?Yes9979¢0¢$0−$78−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 1?Yes9998¢0¢$0−$97−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?Yes9897.3¢0¢$0−$95−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23?Yes9689¢0¢$0−$86−$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?Yes9490¢0¢$0−$85−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?Yes9089¢0¢$0−$80−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12?Yes9098¢0¢$0−$88−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?Yes8496¢0¢$0−$80−$0.16
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ETUp831¢0¢$0−$0.83−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6?Yes826.1¢0¢$0−$4.96−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?Yes8195.8¢0¢$0−$78−$0.16
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1NRG8196¢0¢$0−$78−$0.09
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp781¢0¢$0−$0.78$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 2?Yes7885¢0¢$0−$66−$0.50
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5Over7585¢0¢$0−$63−$0.29
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates7285¢0¢$0−$62−$0.28
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes7071.8¢0¢$0−$50−$1.95
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over6895.3¢0¢$0−$65−$0.09
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No654.7¢0¢$0−$3.05$0
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group DCHAOS6493.4¢0¢$0−$60−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?Yes6485.5¢0¢$0−$55−$0.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp6398¢0¢$0−$62−$0.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19?Yes6213¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.49
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes613.1¢0¢$0−$1.90−$4.04
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes6014.1¢0¢$0−$8.47−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 1?Yes5989.4¢0¢$0−$53−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 29?Yes5891¢0¢$0−$53−$0.24
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?Yes5890¢0¢$0−$52−$0.26
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Yes5894.1¢0¢$0−$54−$0.16
Spain leading at halftime?Yes5839.8¢0¢$0−$23−$0.41
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?No556.7¢0¢$0−$3.67$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes5410.1¢0¢$0−$5.46+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 27?Yes5276¢0¢$0−$39−$0.47
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals5290¢0¢$0−$46−$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 7?Yes5097.3¢0¢$0−$49−$0.07
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 8?Up4795¢0¢$0−$44−$0.09
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?Yes4686.5¢0¢$0−$40−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8?Yes4690¢0¢$0−$41−$0.21
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19?Yes4517.7¢0¢$0−$7.91−$0.46
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?Yes4396.6¢0¢$0−$42−$0.10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?Yes4399¢0¢$0−$43−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8?Yes4292¢0¢$0−$39−$0.15
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes407.6¢0¢$0−$3.01$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?Yes3990¢0¢$0−$36−$0.18
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium3839¢0¢$0−$15−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?Yes3895¢0¢$0−$36−$0.09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes379.6¢0¢$0−$3.59+$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?92¢29$27100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11?90¢100$90100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 11?98.8¢7$6.77100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 11?90¢33$30100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?99.5¢111$110100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?99¢111$110100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?97.9¢55$54100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?98.9¢20$20100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?93.9¢20$19100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 9?99¢111$110100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?98.7¢77$76100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9?99¢111$110100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?91¢31$28100%46
BUY UpPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 8?97.5¢110$107100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8?90¢46$41100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?92¢113$104100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?97.8¢95$93100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?90¢47$42100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?99.4¢111$110100%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 7?87¢38$33100%46