sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,911

Addarash

0xa2a…7f76
WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$43.6kvol $851k
PnL 30d−$33.7kgains $26.6k · losses $53.2k
PnL 7d+$4,620win rate 7d 69.5%
Win rate67.2%adj 65.6% · 30d 61.7%
Open value$33.1kcash n/a
Positions78 / 273open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 5m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$43.0kbelow peak −$44.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.2% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$7,635Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$4,866Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? · Yesclosed+$4,415Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%? · Yesclosed+$3,241Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yesclosed+$2,308

Worst markets

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$20.0kWill Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? · Yesclosed−$7,613Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Noopen−$6,762Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? · SDopen−$6,758Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Noclosed−$6,184

Open positions · 78

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes6,81195.1¢97.8¢$6,662+$186+$5.31
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No6,64194.9¢98.9¢$6,565+$262$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No5,16196.5¢97.5¢$5,030+$50$0
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No5,78693.6¢82.7¢$4,782−$636$0
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes5,54895.1¢74.1¢$4,109−$1,169$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes92595.3¢91.5¢$846−$36$0
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes1,58851.7¢41.5¢$659−$161$0
Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No70587.4¢90¢$634+$18$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes56483¢77.5¢$437−$31−$470
Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No41389.5¢95¢$392+$23$0
Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No54485.6¢67¢$364−$101$0
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No33597.4¢96.9¢$325−$1.82$0
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Yes1,24831.2¢26¢$325−$64$0
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No53347.4¢57¢$304+$51$0
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes66446.1¢45.5¢$302−$3.67$0
Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No31590¢79.5¢$250−$33$0
Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes28790¢73.1¢$209−$49$0
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?No18784.4¢78.5¢$147−$11$0
Will the Green Party candidate win 40% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No15996¢88¢$140−$13$0
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No27048¢48¢$130$0$0
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?Yes55020.3¢22¢$121+$9.32+$30
Will the Labour Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No11297.9¢96.2¢$108−$1.91$0
Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes25440.7¢35¢$89−$14$0
Will the Green candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?No9395.3¢93.5¢$87−$1.72$0
Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes24033.3¢26.5¢$63−$16$0
Will Cory Booker win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?No2583.3¢94¢$23+$2.63+$9.47
Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes37612.9¢5.5¢$21−$28$0
Will the Green Party candidate win 25-30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes6729¢27.5¢$18−$1.00$0
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 74% or more?No599.5¢98.7¢$4.93−$0.04$0
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12.4k9.9¢0¢$0−$1,223−$34
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Yes9,16927.7¢0¢$0−$2,536−$76
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SD6,29081.9¢0¢$0−$5,154−$1,604
Will Darline Graham Nordone win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?No4,6465¢0¢$0−$234−$11
Will Ralph Norman win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Yes4,3734.7¢0¢$0−$203−$8.82
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes3,65042.1¢0¢$0−$1,535−$22
Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?Yes2,91523.2¢0¢$0−$677−$247
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes2,63264¢0¢$0−$1,685−$24
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes2,17478.5¢0¢$0−$1,707−$1,651
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes1,70813¢0¢$0−$221−$16
Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No1,51678.1¢0¢$0−$1,185−$1,864
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,02720.3¢0¢$0−$209−$6.64
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz1,00062.8¢0¢$0−$628−$12
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Yes93566.6¢0¢$0−$622−$8.32
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes92584.7¢0¢$0−$783−$4.79
Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?No89421.8¢0¢$0−$195−$6.11
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No81410.3¢0¢$0−$84−$37
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaCoco Gauff70048.6¢0¢$0−$340−$5.00
Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Yes6645.1¢0¢$0−$34−$1.21
US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Nishesh BasavareddyArthur Gea60056¢0¢$0−$336−$7.39
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel CerundoloArthur Rinderknech60061.3¢0¢$0−$368−$4.76
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes60047¢0¢$0−$282$0
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael ZhengUgo Humbert54254.8¢0¢$0−$297−$0.90
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?Yes51252¢0¢$0−$266−$5.11
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Zandschulp (+2.5)Zandschulp50052¢0¢$0−$260−$6.24
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)Alcaraz50060¢0¢$0−$300−$6.00
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?Yes40012¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?Yes37870.3¢0¢$0−$266−$3.16
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James DuckworthJames Duckworth35049¢0¢$0−$172−$4.37
US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils31081¢0¢$0−$251−$2.39
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin VacherotValentin Vacherot30066¢0¢$0−$198−$3.37
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky HijikataLuciano Darderi30061¢0¢$0−$183−$3.57
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Yes28258.9¢0¢$0−$166−$2.72
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No21623.6¢0¢$0−$51−$6,711
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupDN SOOPers20018¢0¢$0−$36−$1.11
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA15056¢0¢$0−$84$0
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti14544¢0¢$0−$64−$1.79
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?No11810.9¢0¢$0−$13−$0.46
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes9623¢0¢$0−$22−$29
Will Simon Allaire win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Yes744.1¢0¢$0−$3.03−$0.12
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes6289.9¢0¢$0−$56−$0.22
Will Jean-François Cloutier win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?Yes5896.3¢0¢$0−$56−$0.08
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Yes5032.7¢0¢$0−$16−$0.44
Will Sébastien Schneeberger win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Yes485.2¢0¢$0−$2.48−$0.09
Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?No4034¢0¢$0−$14−$0.36
Will Marc-André Cloutier win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Yes354.4¢0¢$0−$1.54−$0.06
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?Yes2194.5¢0¢$0−$20−$0.04
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner TienJakub Mensik1438¢0¢$0−$5.24−$0.16
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Fils1068¢0¢$0−$6.80−$0.11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?98¢5$4.9067%36
BUY YesWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?99.6¢200$19967%36
BUY YesWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?99.6¢200$19967%36
BUY YesWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?99.7¢30$3067%36
BUY NoWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?94.3¢20$1967%36
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?97¢43$4267%36
BUY NoWill the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?83.8¢26$2267%36
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win 40% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?97.5¢85$8367%36
BUY NoWill the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?85.6¢544$46567%36
BUY YesWill the Green Party candidate win 25-30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?29¢67$1967%36
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win 40% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?96¢159$15367%36
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?90¢9$8.4067%36
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?87.3¢522$45667%36
BUY YesWill the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?90¢287$25867%36
BUY NoWill the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?89.9¢9$7.6567%36
BUY NoWill the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?90¢307$27667%36
BUY YesWill the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?40.7¢254$10367%36
BUY NoWill the Labour Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?98.3¢94$9367%36
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?87.4¢173$15167%36
BUY NoWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?89.5¢413$37067%36