PnL all-time−$429kvol $22.8M
PnL 30d+$12.8kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$7,323win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.9%adj 68.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1.42Mcash n/a
Positions8 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$275kbelow peak −$525kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 88.9% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$144kUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Max Hollowayclosed+$135kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$102kWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Noclosed+$87.6kWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$36.0k
Worst markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noopen−$805kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$18.3kIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Noopen−$5,958MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,559Epstein suicide note released by May 8? · Yesopen−$1,271
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.46M | 87.3¢ | 97.2¢ | $1.41M | +$144k | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4,353 | 88.1¢ | 82.5¢ | $3,591 | −$245 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 3.42M | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$805k | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | No | 27.5k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$225 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | No | 27.4k | 21.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,958 | $0 | |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | Yes | 16.0k | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,214 | −$56 | |
| Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | Yes | 1,356 | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | −$4.30 | |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | Yes | 1,072 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$225 | −$7.12 |
Recent trades
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