PnL all-time+$4,217vol $223k
PnL 30d+$6.47gains $112 · losses $87
PnL 7d−$34win rate 7d 63.6%
Win rate76.8%adj 75.8% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$482cash n/a
Positions10 / 510open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,202below peak −$182Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 76.8% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$552USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$501Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$200Immunefi FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$190Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$144
Worst markets
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$288Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$285Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$256Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · Noclosed−$226Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$202
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 150 | 86.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $146 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 95.6¢ | 97.1¢ | $97 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | 85.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $56 | +$4.57 | +$2.13 | |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $47 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 200 | 62.5¢ | 19¢ | $38 | −$87 | −$15 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $36 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | 96¢ | 97.7¢ | $20 | +$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 27 | 62.5¢ | 63¢ | $17 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 120 | 49.6¢ | 14¢ | $17 | −$43 | −$13 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 10 | 86¢ | 83.5¢ | $8.35 | −$0.25 | $0 |
Recent trades
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